MCSHF (Metcash) Beneish M-Score: -2.68 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


MCSHF Metcash Ltd MCSHF
63 GF Score
Price $1.48
GF Value $1.72
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Metcash Beneish M-Score?

Metcash MCSHF -36.26% 63 Beneish M-Score is -2.68 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates MCSHF with a GF Score™ of 63/100 and a GF Value™ of $1.72 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 293 Retail - Defensive companies, Metcash ranks better than 60.41% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.68 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Metcash's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MCSHF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.73   Med: -2.64   Max: -2.36
Current: -2.68

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Metcash was -2.36. The lowest was -2.73. And the median was -2.64.


Metcash Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Metcash's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Metcash Beneish M-Score Chart

Metcash Annual Data
Trend Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23 Apr24 Apr25 Apr26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.58 -2.56 -2.46 -2.63 -2.68

Metcash Semi-Annual Data
Oct16 Apr17 Oct17 Apr18 Oct18 Apr19 Oct19 Apr20 Oct20 Apr21 Oct21 Apr22 Oct22 Apr23 Oct23 Apr24 Oct24 Apr25 Oct25 Apr26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.46 0.00 -2.63 0.00 -2.68

MCSHF vs SYY, USFD, PFGC: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Food Distribution subindustry, Metcash's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Metcash Beneish M-Score vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Metcash's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Metcash's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MCSHF
63GF Score
Metcash Ltd MCSHF
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Metcash Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Metcash for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0153+0.528 * 0.9565+0.404 * 1.0271+0.892 * 1.1297+0.115 * 0.964
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.056+4.679 * -0.041992-0.327 * 0.9947
=-2.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Apr26) TTM:Last Year (Apr25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,543 Mil.
Revenue was $12,308 Mil.
Gross Profit was $1,666 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,671 Mil.
Total Assets was $4,962 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $874 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $183 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $946 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,500 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,148 Mil.
Net Income was $198 Mil.
Gross Profit was $11 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $396 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,345 Mil.
Revenue was $10,895 Mil.
Gross Profit was $1,411 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,376 Mil.
Total Assets was $4,335 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $754 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $151 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $793 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,286 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $918 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1542.979 / 12307.801) / (1345.283 / 10894.969)
=0.125366 / 0.123477
=1.0153

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1410.503 / 10894.969) / (1665.957 / 12307.801)
=0.129464 / 0.135358
=0.9565

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2670.993 + 874.397) / 4962.057) / (1 - (2375.912 + 753.899) / 4334.654)
=0.2855 / 0.277956
=1.0271

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=12307.801 / 10894.969
=1.1297

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(150.943 / (150.943 + 753.899)) / (182.979 / (182.979 + 874.397))
=0.166817 / 0.17305
=0.964

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(945.532 / 12307.801) / (792.642 / 10894.969)
=0.076824 / 0.072753
=1.056

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1148.085 + 2500.355) / 4962.057) / ((918.239 + 2285.912) / 4334.654)
=0.735268 / 0.739194
=0.9947

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(197.943 - 10.567 - 395.745) / 4962.057
=-0.041992

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Metcash has a M-score of -2.57 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.68 mean?
Metcash (MCSHF) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.68 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Metcash and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Metcash ranks #116 out of 293 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 39.6%.
Is Metcash's Beneish M-Score too high?
Metcash's current Beneish M-Score is -2.68. Based on the distribution chart, Metcash ranks #116 out of 293 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Metcash has a GF Score™ of 63/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Metcash's Beneish M-Score compare to SYY and USFD?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Metcash ranks #116 out of 293 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Metcash in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Retail - Defensive company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Retail - Defensive industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Metcash and its competitors. Metcash's current Beneish M-Score is -2.68. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Metcash stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Metcash (MCSHF) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $1.72, compared to a current price of $1.48 — trading 14% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.68. Metcash's overall GF Score™ is 63/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Metcash (MCSHF), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.68 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Metcash (MCSHF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Metcash stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $1.48 is trading 14% below its estimated GF Value™ of $1.72. GuruFocus considers Metcash to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MCSHF:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.68
  • GF Value™: $1.72 vs. price of $1.48 (14% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 63/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MCSHF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Metcash Business Description

Other Exchanges MG9:GermanyMTS:Australia
Address 1 Thomas Holt Drive, Macquarie Park, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2113
Metcash is a wholesaler, and to a lesser extent a retailer, specializing in food, liquor, and hardware. Centralized wholesale distribution enables independent retailers to gain access to the combined scale of many retailers to negotiate material volume discounts.The food segment distributes a range of products and services to independent supermarket and convenience stores. The hardware segment distributes hardware products to independent retail outlets and operates company-owned stores. The liquor segment distributes liquor products to independent retailers and venues like pubs.
63GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MCSHF

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$1.48
Price
$1.72
GF Value