MCSHF (Metcash) Altman Z-Score: 3.20 (As of Jun. 25, 2026) — 20% Below Median


MCSHF Metcash Ltd MCSHF
63 GF Score
Price $1.48
GF Value $3.03
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Metcash Altman Z-Score?

Metcash MCSHF -36.26% 63 Altman Z-Score is 3.20 as of Jun. 25, 2026, which is 20% below its 10-year median of 3.98. GuruFocus rates MCSHF with a GF Score™ of 63/100 and a GF Value™ of $3.03 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 307 Retail - Defensive companies, Metcash ranks worse than 58.63% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 3.2 is strong.

Metcash has a Altman Z-Score of 3.20, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Metcash's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MCSHF' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.2   Med: 3.98   Max: 5.17
Current: 3.2

During the past 13 years, Metcash's highest Altman Z-Score was 5.17. The lowest was 3.20. And the median was 3.98.


Metcash  (OTCPK:MCSHF) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Metcash Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Metcash Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Metcash's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Metcash Altman Z-Score Chart

Metcash Annual Data
Trend Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23 Apr24 Apr25 Apr26
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.98 3.83 3.74 3.24 3.17

Metcash Semi-Annual Data
Oct16 Apr17 Oct17 Apr18 Oct18 Apr19 Oct19 Apr20 Oct20 Apr21 Oct21 Apr22 Oct22 Apr23 Oct23 Apr24 Oct24 Apr25 Oct25 Apr26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.74 0.00 3.24 0.00 3.17

MCSHF vs SYY, USFD, PFGC: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Food Distribution subindustry, Metcash's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Metcash Altman Z-Score vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Metcash's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Metcash's Altman Z-Score falls into.


MCSHF
63GF Score
Metcash Ltd MCSHF
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Metcash Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Metcash's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0344+1.4*0.0636+3.3*0.0651+0.6*0.6181+1.0*2.4804
=3.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Apr. 2026:
Total Assets was $4,962 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,671 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,500 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $316 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was $273 Mil.
Interest Expense was $-50 Mil.
Revenue was $12,308 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $2,312 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $3,740 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2670.993 - 2500.355)/4962.057
=0.0344

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=315.674/4962.057
=0.0636

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(273.05 - -50.071)/4962.057
=0.0651

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=2311.800/3740.355
=0.6181

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=12307.801/4962.057
=2.4804

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Metcash has a Altman Z-Score of 3.20 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 3.20 mean?
Metcash (MCSHF) has a Altman Z-Score of 3.20 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Metcash and its competitors. This is 20% below median its historical median of 3.98. Over the past decade, Metcash's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 3.20 to 5.17. According to the industry distribution chart, Metcash ranks #180 out of 307 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 58.6%.
Is Metcash's Altman Z-Score too high?
Metcash's current Altman Z-Score of 3.20 is 20% below median its 10-year median of 3.98. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 3.20 to a high of 5.17. The Retail - Defensive industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.56. Metcash's value of 3.20 is 10.1% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Metcash ranks #180 out of 307 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Metcash has a GF Score™ of 63/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Metcash's Altman Z-Score compare to SYY and USFD?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Metcash ranks #180 out of 307 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Metcash in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.56. Metcash's value of 3.20 is 10.1% below this benchmark. Historically, Metcash's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 3.20 to 5.17 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 3.98 vs. the industry median of 3.56, Metcash has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Retail - Defensive company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Retail - Defensive companies is 3.56, based on 307 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Metcash's current Altman Z-Score of 3.20 is 10.1% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Metcash and its competitors. For the Retail - Defensive industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 3.56 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Metcash's current Altman Z-Score is 3.20, which is 20% below median its own 10-year median of 3.98. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Metcash stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Metcash (MCSHF) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $3.03, compared to a current price of $1.48 — trading 51.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 3.20, which is 20% below median its 10-year median of 3.98 and 10.1% below the Retail - Defensive industry median of 3.56. Metcash's overall GF Score™ is 63/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Metcash (MCSHF), the current Altman Z-Score is 3.20 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Metcash (MCSHF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Metcash stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $1.48 is trading 51.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of $3.03. GuruFocus considers Metcash to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MCSHF:

  • Altman Z-Score: 3.20 (20% below median its 10-year median of 3.98)
  • GF Value™: $3.03 vs. price of $1.48 (51.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 63/100 with 2 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 10.1% below the Retail - Defensive median (#180 of 307)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MCSHF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Metcash Business Description

Other Exchanges MG9:GermanyMTS:Australia
Address 1 Thomas Holt Drive, Macquarie Park, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2113
Metcash is a wholesaler, and to a lesser extent a retailer, specializing in food, liquor, and hardware. Centralized wholesale distribution enables independent retailers to gain access to the combined scale of many retailers to negotiate material volume discounts.The food segment distributes a range of products and services to independent supermarket and convenience stores. The hardware segment distributes hardware products to independent retail outlets and operates company-owned stores. The liquor segment distributes liquor products to independent retailers and venues like pubs.
63GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MCSHF

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$1.48
Price
$3.03
GF Value