MCSHF (Metcash) Peter Lynch Fair Value: $2.96 (As of Jul. 06, 2026) — 323% Above Median


MCSHF Metcash Ltd MCSHF
63 GF Score
Price $1.48
GF Value $1.75
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Metcash Peter Lynch Fair Value?

Metcash MCSHF -36.26% 63 Peter Lynch Fair Value is $2.96 as of Jul. 06, 2026, which is 323% above its 10-year median of 0.70. GuruFocus rates MCSHF with a GF Score™ of 63/100 and a GF Value™ of $1.75 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 116 Retail - Defensive companies, Metcash ranks worse than 862068.1% on this metric.

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Metcash's PEG is 1. Metcash's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 16.75. Metcash's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Apr. 2026 was $0.18. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $2.96.

As of today (2026-07-06), Metcash's share price is $1.48. Metcash's Peter Lynch fair value is $2.96. Therefore, Metcash's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 0.50.


The historical rank and industry rank for Metcash's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Metcash was 1.67. The lowest was 0.54. And the median was 0.70.


MCSHF's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is not ranked *
in the Retail - Defensive industry.
Industry Median: 1.205
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value only.

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


Metcash  (OTCPK:MCSHF) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 16.75 instead of 15 in this case.

Metcash's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=1.48/2.96
=0.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Metcash Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms


Metcash Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Metcash's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Metcash Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

Metcash Annual Data
Trend Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23 Apr24 Apr25 Apr26
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.78 4.71 2.70 3.02 0.00

Metcash Semi-Annual Data
Oct16 Apr17 Oct17 Apr18 Oct18 Apr19 Oct19 Apr20 Oct20 Apr21 Oct21 Apr22 Oct22 Apr23 Oct23 Apr24 Oct24 Apr25 Oct25 Apr26
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.70 0.00 3.02 0.00 0.00

MCSHF vs SYY, USFD, PFGC: Peter Lynch Fair Value Comparison

For the Food Distribution subindustry, Metcash's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Metcash Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Metcash's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Metcash's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.


MCSHF
63GF Score
Metcash Ltd MCSHF
Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Metcash Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

Metcash's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 16.75 *0.177
=2.96

For company reported semi-annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data. Metcash's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Apr. 2026 was $0.18.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Peter Lynch Fair Value →
What does a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $2.96 mean?
Metcash (MCSHF) has a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $2.96 as of Jul. 06, 2026. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Metcash and its competitors. This is 323% above median its historical median of 0.70. Over the past decade, Metcash's Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.54 to 1.67. According to the industry distribution chart, Metcash ranks #999999 out of 116 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry.
Is Metcash's Peter Lynch Fair Value too high?
Metcash's current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $2.96 is 323% above median its 10-year median of 0.70. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.54 to a high of 1.67. The Retail - Defensive industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.21. Metcash's value of $2.96 is 145.6% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Metcash ranks #999999 out of 116 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Metcash has a GF Score™ of 63/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Metcash's Peter Lynch Fair Value compare to SYY and USFD?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Metcash ranks #999999 out of 116 companies for Peter Lynch Fair Value. This places Metcash in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.21. Metcash's value of $2.96 is 145.6% above this benchmark. Historically, Metcash's own Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.54 to 1.67 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.70 vs. the industry median of 1.21, Metcash has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Peter Lynch Fair Value for a Retail - Defensive company?
The median Peter Lynch Fair Value among Retail - Defensive companies is 1.21, based on 116 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Peter Lynch Fair Value significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Peter Lynch Fair Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Metcash's current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $2.96 is 145.6% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Peter Lynch Fair Value mean?
A high Peter Lynch Fair Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Metcash and its competitors. For the Retail - Defensive industry, the median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.21 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Metcash's current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $2.96, which is 323% above median its own 10-year median of 0.70. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Metcash stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Metcash (MCSHF) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $1.75, compared to a current price of $1.48 — trading 15.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $2.96, which is 323% above median its 10-year median of 0.70 and 145.6% above the Retail - Defensive industry median of 1.21. Metcash's overall GF Score™ is 63/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Peter Lynch Fair Value calculated?
Peter Lynch Fair Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Metcash (MCSHF), the current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $2.96 as of Jul. 06, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Metcash (MCSHF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Metcash stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $1.48 is trading 15.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of $1.75. GuruFocus considers Metcash to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MCSHF:

  • Peter Lynch Fair Value: $2.96 (323% above median its 10-year median of 0.70)
  • GF Value™: $1.75 vs. price of $1.48 (15.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 63/100 with 2 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 145.6% above the Retail - Defensive median (#999999 of 116)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MCSHF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Metcash Business Description

Other Exchanges MG9:GermanyMTS:Australia
Address 1 Thomas Holt Drive, Macquarie Park, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2113
Metcash is a wholesaler, and to a lesser extent a retailer, specializing in food, liquor, and hardware. Centralized wholesale distribution enables independent retailers to gain access to the combined scale of many retailers to negotiate material volume discounts.The food segment distributes a range of products and services to independent supermarket and convenience stores. The hardware segment distributes hardware products to independent retail outlets and operates company-owned stores. The liquor segment distributes liquor products to independent retailers and venues like pubs.
63GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MCSHF

Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$1.48
Price
$1.75
GF Value