Ciena (MEX:CIEN) Beneish M-Score: -2.66 (As of Jul. 08, 2026)


MEX:CIEN Ciena Corp MEX:CIEN
68 GF Score
Price MXN7,586.00
GF Value MXN1,622.93
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Ciena Beneish M-Score?

Ciena MEX:CIEN 68 Beneish M-Score is -2.66 as of Jul. 08, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:CIEN with a GF Score™ of 68/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN1,622.93 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 2,405 Hardware companies, Ciena ranks better than 66.07% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.66 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ciena's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:CIEN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.02   Med: -2.55   Max: -0.57
Current: -2.66

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ciena was -0.57. The lowest was -3.02. And the median was -2.55.


Ciena Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Ciena's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Ciena Beneish M-Score Chart

Ciena Annual Data
Trend Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23 Oct24 Oct25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.31 -2.11 -2.26 -2.89 -2.81

Ciena Quarterly Data
Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26 Apr26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.84 -3.02 -2.81 -2.84 -2.66

MEX:CIEN vs MSI, LITE, HPE: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, Ciena's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ciena Beneish M-Score vs Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Ciena's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ciena's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:CIEN
68GF Score
Ciena Corp MEX:CIEN
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Ciena Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Ciena for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8501+0.528 * 0.9754+0.404 * 1.0912+0.892 * 1.1905+0.115 * 1.0075
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8602+4.679 * -0.083577-0.327 * 1.0265
=-2.80

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Apr26) TTM:Last Year (Apr25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN18,437 Mil.
Revenue was 27513.221 + 24758.18 + 25074.571 + 22920.78 = MXN100,267 Mil.
Gross Profit was 12113.329 + 10852.334 + 10704.65 + 9456.376 = MXN43,127 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN62,500 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN105,788 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN8,470 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN2,915 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN15,394 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN22,921 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN27,177 Mil.
Net Income was 3822.363 + 2607.305 + 361.453 + 945.639 = MXN7,737 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 23.296 + -95.525 + -1954.393 + -53.045 = MXN-2,080 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 4548.966 + 3949.481 + 6882.18 + 3277.201 = MXN18,658 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN18,216 Mil.
Revenue was 22057.526 + 22119.652 + 22517.537 + 17524.573 = MXN84,219 Mil.
Gross Profit was 8871.73 + 9733.195 + 9214.885 + 7512.367 = MXN35,332 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN69,830 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN110,875 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN7,602 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN2,643 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN15,031 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN20,513 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN30,639 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(18436.904 / 100266.752) / (18216.064 / 84219.288)
=0.183879 / 0.216293
=0.8501

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(35332.177 / 84219.288) / (43126.689 / 100266.752)
=0.419526 / 0.43012
=0.9754

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (62500.317 + 8469.753) / 105787.593) / (1 - (69830.117 + 7601.542) / 110874.903)
=0.329127 / 0.30163
=1.0912

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=100266.752 / 84219.288
=1.1905

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2643.162 / (2643.162 + 7601.542)) / (2915.388 / (2915.388 + 8469.753))
=0.258003 / 0.25607
=1.0075

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(15394.027 / 100266.752) / (15030.84 / 84219.288)
=0.153531 / 0.178473
=0.8602

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((27176.842 + 22921.236) / 105787.593) / ((30638.579 + 20513.371) / 110874.903)
=0.473572 / 0.461348
=1.0265

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(7736.76 - -2079.667 - 18657.828) / 105787.593
=-0.083577

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Ciena has a M-score of -2.80 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.66 mean?
Ciena (MEX:CIEN) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.66 as of Jul. 08, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Ciena and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Ciena ranks #816 out of 2405 companies in the Hardware industry, placing it in the top 33.9%.
Is Ciena's Beneish M-Score too high?
Ciena's current Beneish M-Score is -2.66. Based on the distribution chart, Ciena ranks #816 out of 2405 companies in the Hardware industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Ciena has a GF Score™ of 68/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ciena's Beneish M-Score compare to MSI and LITE?
According to the Hardware industry distribution chart, Ciena ranks #816 out of 2405 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Ciena in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Hardware company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Hardware industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Ciena and its competitors. Ciena's current Beneish M-Score is -2.66. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ciena stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ciena (MEX:CIEN) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN1,622.93, compared to a current price of MXN7,586.00 — trading 367.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.66. Ciena's overall GF Score™ is 68/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ciena (MEX:CIEN), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.66 as of Jul. 08, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Ciena (MEX:CIEN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ciena stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN7,586.00 is trading 367.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN1,622.93. GuruFocus considers Ciena to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:CIEN:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.66
  • GF Value™: MXN1,622.93 vs. price of MXN7,586.00 (367.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:CIEN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Ciena Business Description

Address 7035 Ridge Road, Hanover, MD, USA, 21076
Ciena is a leader in high-speed optical connectivity, providing systems, components, and automation software for telecom providers and enterprises, such as data centers, to enable long-distance connectivity. The company operates through four primary business segments: networking platforms, platform software and services, Blue Planet automation software, and global services. While telecom carriers remain important customers, cloud providers and hyperscalers now drive a significant portion of the business. To meet the demands of AI data centers, customers are adopting Ciena's WaveLogic 6 platform, the first to support 1.6 terabits-per-second capacity.
68GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:CIEN

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN7,586.00
Price
MXN1,622.93
GF Value