Par Pacific Holdings (MEX:PARR) Beneish M-Score: -2.56 (As of Jul. 07, 2026)


MEX:PARR Par Pacific Holdings Inc MEX:PARR
61 GF Score
Price MXN1,123.30
GF Value MXN672.06
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Par Pacific Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Par Pacific Holdings MEX:PARR 61 Beneish M-Score is -2.56 as of Jul. 07, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:PARR with a GF Score™ of 61/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN672.06. The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 824 Oil & Gas companies, Par Pacific Holdings ranks worse than 58.13% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.56 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Par Pacific Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:PARR' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.41   Med: -2.33   Max: 0.72
Current: -2.56

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Par Pacific Holdings was 0.72. The lowest was -3.41. And the median was -2.33.


Par Pacific Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Par Pacific Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Par Pacific Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Par Pacific Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.42 -2.53 -1.75 -2.21 -3.03

Par Pacific Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.49 -2.72 -2.93 -3.03 -2.56

MEX:PARR vs CVI, DKL, DK: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Par Pacific Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Par Pacific Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Par Pacific Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Par Pacific Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:PARR
61GF Score
Par Pacific Holdings Inc MEX:PARR
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Par Pacific Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Par Pacific Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2241+0.528 * 0.5164+0.404 * 0.8238+0.892 * 0.9022+0.115 * 0.9024
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1097+4.679 * -0.002996-0.327 * 0.8892
=-2.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN8,683 Mil.
Revenue was 32887.137 + 32648.655 + 36925.701 + 35651.923 = MXN138,113 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4161.695 + 4919.355 + 9593.191 + 4994.389 = MXN23,669 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN38,787 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN75,909 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN28,541 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN2,602 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN1,812 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN23,889 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN22,530 Mil.
Net Income was 981.881 + 1399.043 + 4817.756 + 1119.584 = MXN8,318 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 268.11 + 362.671 + 228.385 + 192.51 = MXN1,052 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -734.057 + 1688.935 + 4023.947 + 2515.167 = MXN7,494 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN7,862 Mil.
Revenue was 35700.296 + 38212.251 + 42214.684 + 36960.222 = MXN153,087 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3050.113 + 2482.6 + 4073.017 + 3941.149 = MXN13,547 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN33,225 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN76,785 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN33,024 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN2,693 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN1,810 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN21,326 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN31,477 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(8682.871 / 138113.416) / (7862.148 / 153087.453)
=0.062868 / 0.051357
=1.2241

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(13546.879 / 153087.453) / (23668.63 / 138113.416)
=0.088491 / 0.171371
=0.5164

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (38786.661 + 28541.346) / 75908.993) / (1 - (33224.731 + 33023.954) / 76784.841)
=0.113043 / 0.137217
=0.8238

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=138113.416 / 153087.453
=0.9022

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2693.165 / (2693.165 + 33023.954)) / (2602.19 / (2602.19 + 28541.346))
=0.075403 / 0.083555
=0.9024

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1812.392 / 138113.416) / (1810.307 / 153087.453)
=0.013122 / 0.011825
=1.1097

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((22529.587 + 23888.783) / 75908.993) / ((31476.823 + 21326.323) / 76784.841)
=0.6115 / 0.687677
=0.8892

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(8318.264 - 1051.676 - 7493.992) / 75908.993
=-0.002996

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Par Pacific Holdings has a M-score of -2.70 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.56 mean?
Par Pacific Holdings (MEX:PARR) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.56 as of Jul. 07, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Par Pacific Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Par Pacific Holdings ranks #479 out of 824 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 58.1%.
Is Par Pacific Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Par Pacific Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -2.56. Based on the distribution chart, Par Pacific Holdings ranks #479 out of 824 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Par Pacific Holdings has a GF Score™ of 61/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Par Pacific Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to CVI and DKL?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Par Pacific Holdings ranks #479 out of 824 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Par Pacific Holdings in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Par Pacific Holdings and its competitors. Par Pacific Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -2.56. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Par Pacific Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Par Pacific Holdings (MEX:PARR) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.56. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN672.06, compared to a current price of MXN1,123.30 — trading 67.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.56. Par Pacific Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 61/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Par Pacific Holdings (MEX:PARR), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.56 as of Jul. 07, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Par Pacific Holdings (MEX:PARR) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Par Pacific Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN1,123.30 is trading 67.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN672.06.

Key valuation signals for MEX:PARR:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.56
  • GF Value™: MXN672.06 vs. price of MXN1,123.30 (67.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 61/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:PARR stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Par Pacific Holdings Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Other Exchanges PARR:USA61P:Germany
Address 825 Town & Country Lane, Suite 1500, Houston, TX, USA, 77024
Par Pacific Holdings Inc is an oil and gas company that manages and maintains interests in energy and infrastructure businesses. The company has three reportable segments: Refining. Under its refining business, the company produces ultra-low-sulfur diesel, gasoline, jet fuel, marine fuel, LSFO, and other associated refined products. Its Retail includes operating licenses out brands to serve the retail consumer. Through the Logistics segment, crude shipments are delivered to the refineries, in addition to finished products that are exported. It generates maximum revenue from the Refining segment.
61GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:PARR

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN1,123.30
Price
MXN672.06
GF Value