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Century Aluminum Co (Century Aluminum Co) Beneish M-Score : -1.39 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)


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(Century Aluminum Co) Definition

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.39 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Century Aluminum Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CENX' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -6.06   Med: -2.8   Max: -1.35
Current: -1.39

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Century Aluminum Co was -1.35. The lowest was -6.06. And the median was -2.80.


Century Aluminum Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Century Aluminum Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Century Aluminum Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.97 -3.63 -2.65 -1.59 -1.39

Century Aluminum Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.59 76.41 58.66 -1.52 -1.39

Competitive Comparison

For the Aluminum subindustry, Century Aluminum Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Century Aluminum Co Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Century Aluminum Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Century Aluminum Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Century Aluminum Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Century Aluminum Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 3.0026+0.528 * 0.3999+0.404 * 1.2038+0.892 * 0.7869+0.115 * 1.2963
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.5013+4.679 * -0.045275-0.327 * 1.2013
=-1.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $169 Mil.
Revenue was 512.3 + 545.2 + 575.5 + 552.4 = $2,185 Mil.
Gross Profit was 39.4 + -11.5 + 15.9 + 48.1 = $92 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $767 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,847 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,004 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $75 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $44 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $763 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $431 Mil.
Net Income was 30 + -42 + 7.5 + -38.6 = $-43 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 11.1 + -23.9 + 5.6 + -57.9 = $-65 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 66 + 41.5 + -1.7 + -0.2 = $106 Mil.
Total Receivables was $72 Mil.
Revenue was 529.9 + 637.2 + 856.6 + 753.6 = $2,777 Mil.
Gross Profit was -19.4 + -43 + 15.9 + 93.2 = $47 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $678 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,472 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $744 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $73 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $38 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $411 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $382 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(169.4 / 2185.4) / (71.7 / 2777.3)
=0.077514 / 0.025816
=3.0026

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(46.7 / 2777.3) / (91.9 / 2185.4)
=0.016815 / 0.042052
=0.3999

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (767.1 + 1004.2) / 1846.5) / (1 - (677.8 + 744.4) / 1472)
=0.040726 / 0.033832
=1.2038

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2185.4 / 2777.3
=0.7869

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(73.4 / (73.4 + 744.4)) / (74.7 / (74.7 + 1004.2))
=0.089753 / 0.069237
=1.2963

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(44.3 / 2185.4) / (37.5 / 2777.3)
=0.020271 / 0.013502
=1.5013

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((430.9 + 763) / 1846.5) / ((381.6 + 410.7) / 1472)
=0.646575 / 0.538247
=1.2013

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-43.1 - -65.1 - 105.6) / 1846.5
=-0.045275

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Century Aluminum Co has a M-score of -1.39 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Century Aluminum Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Century Aluminum Co (Century Aluminum Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
One South Wacker Drive, Suite 1000, Chicago, IL, USA, 60606
Century Aluminum Co produces primary aluminum standard grade and value-added products. The firm operates smelter facilities in the United States and Iceland. The majority of revenue is generated from Glencore, which agreed to purchase nearly all of Century Aluminum's North American production. Century purchases nearly all of its alumina from Glencore. The company produces high purity aluminum, standard grade aluminum sow and tee bars, and value-added billet and foundry products. Century also owns a carbon anode production facility in the Netherlands.
Executives
Peter A Trpkovski officer: SVP, Finance and Treasurer CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY, 1 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 1000, CHICAGO IL 60606
Jesse E Gary director, officer: President and CEO 2511 GARDEN ROAD, BUILDING A, SUITE 200, MONTEREY CA 93940
Robert F Hoffman officer: See Remarks 1 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 1000, CHICAGO IL 60606
Tamla A Olivier director CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY, 1 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 1000, CHICAGO IL 60606
Matt Aboud officer: SVP, Strategy & Business Dev't CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY, 1 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 1000, CHICAGO IL 60606
Ocorian Ltd 10 percent owner 26 NEW STREET, ST HELIER Y9 JE2 3RA
Ryfold Ltd 10 percent owner 26 NEW STREET, ST HELIER Y9 JE2 3RA
Givolon Ltd 10 percent owner 26 NEW STREET, ST HELIER Y9 JE2 3RA
Ryfold Trust 10 percent owner ESPLANADE 13-14, ST HELIER Y9 JE1 1EE
Gerald C Bialek officer: Chief Financial Officer 701 LIMA AVENUE, FINDLAY OH 45840
Andrew G Michelmore director LEVEL 23/28 FRESHWATER PLACE, P.O. BOX 19421, SOUTHBANK VICTORIA C3 3006
Jarl Berntzen director CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY, 2511 GARDEN ROAD, BLDG A, SUITE 200, MONTEREY CA 93940
Errol Glasser director 505 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Jennifer Mary Bush director CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY, 1 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 1000, CHICAGO IL 60606
John Dezee officer: EVP and General Counsel 1 S WACKER DR, SUITE 1000, CHICAGO IL 60606