Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co (ROCO:4528) Beneish M-Score: -2.88 (As of Jul. 13, 2026)

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ROCO:4528 Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co Ltd ROCO:4528
67 GF Score
Price NT$15.30
GF Value NT$21.02
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co Beneish M-Score?

Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co ROCO:4528 67 Beneish M-Score is -2.88 as of Jul. 13, 2026. GuruFocus rates ROCO:4528 with a GF Score™ of 67/100 and a GF Value™ of NT$21.02 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,275 Vehicles & Parts companies, Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co ranks better than 80% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.88 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ROCO:4528' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.28   Med: -2.66   Max: -1.85
Current: -2.88

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co was -1.85. The lowest was -3.28. And the median was -2.66.


Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.39 -1.85 -3.28 -2.82 -2.88

Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.82 -2.65 -2.82 -3.14 -2.88

ROCO:4528 vs ORLY, AZO: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co Beneish M-Score vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


ROCO:4528
67GF Score
Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co Ltd ROCO:4528
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0832+0.528 * 0.973+0.404 * 0.886+0.892 * 0.9227+0.115 * 0.991
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0185+4.679 * -0.071976-0.327 * 1.0156
=-2.88

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was NT$419 Mil.
Revenue was 439.448 + 372.935 + 394.161 + 374.353 = NT$1,581 Mil.
Gross Profit was 71.643 + 47.967 + 65.52 + 52.522 = NT$238 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$1,467 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$3,635 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$1,901 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$203 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$160 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$876 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$473 Mil.
Net Income was 4.901 + -9.98 + -12.6 + -8.023 = NT$-26 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = NT$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 29.29 + 86.349 + 57.523 + 62.788 = NT$236 Mil.
Total Receivables was NT$419 Mil.
Revenue was 422.187 + 442.882 + 424.481 + 423.847 = NT$1,713 Mil.
Gross Profit was 68.681 + 58.17 + 66.65 + 57.117 = NT$251 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$1,306 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$3,656 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$2,045 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$217 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$171 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$737 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$598 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(418.969 / 1580.897) / (419.19 / 1713.397)
=0.26502 / 0.244654
=1.0832

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(250.618 / 1713.397) / (237.652 / 1580.897)
=0.14627 / 0.150327
=0.973

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1466.725 + 1900.597) / 3635.258) / (1 - (1306.467 + 2045.178) / 3655.78)
=0.073705 / 0.083193
=0.886

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1580.897 / 1713.397
=0.9227

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(216.585 / (216.585 + 2045.178)) / (203.294 / (203.294 + 1900.597))
=0.095759 / 0.096628
=0.991

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(160.346 / 1580.897) / (170.635 / 1713.397)
=0.101427 / 0.099589
=1.0185

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((472.676 + 875.997) / 3635.258) / ((598.049 + 737.41) / 3655.78)
=0.370998 / 0.365301
=1.0156

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-25.702 - 0 - 235.95) / 3635.258
=-0.071976

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co has a M-score of -2.88 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.88 mean?
Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co (ROCO:4528) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.88 as of Jul. 13, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co ranks #255 out of 1275 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, placing it in the top 20%.
Is Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.88. Based on the distribution chart, Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co ranks #255 out of 1275 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co has a GF Score™ of 67/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co's Beneish M-Score compare to ORLY and AZO?
According to the Vehicles & Parts industry distribution chart, Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co ranks #255 out of 1275 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co in the top 20% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Vehicles & Parts company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Vehicles & Parts industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co and its competitors. Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.88. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co (ROCO:4528) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is NT$21.02, compared to a current price of NT$15.30 — trading 27.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.88. Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co's overall GF Score™ is 67/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co (ROCO:4528), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.88 as of Jul. 13, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co (ROCO:4528) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of NT$15.30 is trading 27.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of NT$21.02. GuruFocus considers Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for ROCO:4528:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.88
  • GF Value™: NT$21.02 vs. price of NT$15.30 (27.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 67/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ROCO:4528 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co Business Description

Address No.3-1, Xiehe S. Lane, Xitun District, Taichung City, TWN, 407
Chian Hsing Forging Ind Co Ltd manufactures a variety of forged products. The company is engaged in Auto parts forging, manufacturing, and processing. The products of the company include Track related products, automobile parts, motorbike parts, bicycle parts, mechanical parts, hardware tools, and pneumatic chisels. Geographically, the company operates in China, Taiwan, United States and others.
67GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ROCO:4528

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

NT$15.30
Price
NT$21.02
GF Value