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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Good Sign:
Beneish M-Score -4.08 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
The historical rank and industry rank for Sera Prognostics's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 5 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Sera Prognostics was 453.85. The lowest was -4.08. And the median was -1.16.
The historical data trend for Sera Prognostics's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Sera Prognostics Annual Data | |||||||||||
Trend | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | ||||||
Beneish M-Score | - | - | 453.85 | -1.19 | -2.32 |
Sera Prognostics Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | Mar24 | Jun24 | Sep24 | |
Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | -2.30 | -2.32 | -3.26 | 4.75 | -4.08 |
For the Medical Devices subindustry, Sera Prognostics's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, Sera Prognostics's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Sera Prognostics's Beneish M-Score falls into.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Sera Prognostics for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
= | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 1.7893 | + | 0.528 * 1.2106 | + | 0.404 * 0.7269 | + | 0.892 * 0.2848 | + | 0.115 * 1.0452 | |
- | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI | |||||||
- | 0.172 * 2.7118 | + | 4.679 * -0.237364 | - | 0.327 * 1.8952 | |||||||
= | -4.08 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
This Year (Sep24) TTM: | Last Year (Sep23) TTM: |
Total Receivables was $0.08 Mil. Revenue was 0.029 + 0.024 + 0 + 0.041 = $0.09 Mil. Gross Profit was 0.016 + 0.004 + -0.017 + 0.017 = $0.02 Mil. Total Current Assets was $51.11 Mil. Total Assets was $79.00 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2.19 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0.83 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $20.59 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $24.18 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $0.17 Mil. Net Income was -7.919 + -8.303 + -8.097 + -7.925 = $-32.24 Mil. Non Operating Income was 0.215 + 0.287 + 0.339 + 0.361 = $1.20 Mil. Cash Flow from Operations was -6.995 + -5.928 + 4.994 + -6.765 = $-14.69 Mil. |
Total Receivables was $0.16 Mil. Revenue was 0.042 + 0.123 + 0.1 + 0.065 = $0.33 Mil. Gross Profit was -0.002 + 0.043 + 0.038 + 0.006 = $0.09 Mil. Total Current Assets was $47.55 Mil. Total Assets was $90.06 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2.20 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0.89 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $26.66 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $13.55 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1.10 Mil. |
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
= | (0.079 / 0.094) | / | (0.155 / 0.33) | |
= | 0.840426 | / | 0.469697 | |
= | 1.7893 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
= | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) | |
= | (0.085 / 0.33) | / | (0.02 / 0.094) | |
= | 0.257576 | / | 0.212766 | |
= | 1.2106 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | (1 - (51.107 + 2.187) / 79.001) | / | (1 - (47.546 + 2.197) / 90.057) | |
= | 0.325401 | / | 0.44765 | |
= | 0.7269 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
= | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 | |
= | 0.094 | / | 0.33 | |
= | 0.2848 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
= | (0.891 / (0.891 + 2.197)) | / | (0.834 / (0.834 + 2.187)) | |
= | 0.288536 | / | 0.276068 | |
= | 1.0452 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
= | (20.594 / 0.094) | / | (26.661 / 0.33) | |
= | 219.085106 | / | 80.790909 | |
= | 2.7118 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | ((0.168 + 24.182) / 79.001) | / | ((1.101 + 13.545) / 90.057) | |
= | 0.308224 | / | 0.16263 | |
= | 1.8952 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
= | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t | |
= | (-32.244 - 1.202 | - | -14.694) | / | 79.001 | |
= | -0.237364 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Sera Prognostics has a M-score of -4.08 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Sera Prognostics's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Austin Aerts | officer: Chief Financial Officer | 2479 EAST PARLEYS WAY, SUITE 200, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84109 |
John J. Boniface | officer: Chief Scientific Officer | C/O SERA PROGNOSTICS, INC., 2749 EAST PARLEYS WAY, SUITE 200, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84109 |
Paul Kearney | officer: Chief Data Officer | 2749 E. PARLEYS WAY, C/O SERA PROGNOSTICS, INC., SALT LAKE CITY UT 84109 |
Mansoor Raza Mirza | director | C/O KARYOPHARM THERAPEUTICS INC., 2 MERCER ROAD, NATICK MA 01760 |
Benjamin Jackson | officer: General Counsel | 320 WAKARA WAY, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84108 |
Robert Gardner Harrison | officer: Chief Information Officer | 320 WAKARA WAY, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84108 |
Zhenya Lindgardt | director | C/O SERA PROGNOSTICS INC, 2749 EAST PARLEYS WAY SUITE 200, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84109 |
Jane F Barlow | director | 6800 BROKEN SOUND PARKWAY NW, 3RD FLOOR, BOCA RATON FL 33487 |
Michael R Foley | officer: Chief Medical Officer | C/O SERA PROGNOSTICS INC, 2749 EAST PARLEYS WAY SUITE 200, SALT LAKE CITY UT 04109 |
Sandra Aj Lawrence | director | C/O EVERGY, INC., 1200 MAIN STREET, KANSAS CITY MO 64105 |
Gregory C Critchfield | director, officer: Chief Executive Officer | 320 WAKARA WAY, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84108 |
Jay M Moyes | officer: Chief Financial Officer | |
Blue Ox Healthcare Partners Sp, Llc | 10 percent owner | 135 E. 57TH STREET, 23RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022 |
Bxhcp Sp Ii, Llc | 10 percent owner | 135 E 57TH STREET, 23RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022 |
Bxhcp Sp Iii, Llc | 10 percent owner | 229 DAWSON ROAD, HILLSDALE NY 12529 |
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