SHMAY (Shimao Group Holdings) Beneish M-Score: -2.42 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


SHMAY Shimao Group Holdings Ltd SHMAY
34 GF Score
Price $5.39
GF Value $11.06
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Shimao Group Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Shimao Group Holdings SHMAY 34 Beneish M-Score is -2.42 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates SHMAY with a GF Score™ of 34/100 and a GF Value™ of $11.06. The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,681 Real Estate companies, Shimao Group Holdings ranks better than 54.31% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.42 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Shimao Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHMAY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.18   Med: -2.36   Max: 4.08
Current: -2.42

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Shimao Group Holdings was 4.08. The lowest was -4.18. And the median was -2.36.


Shimao Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Shimao Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Shimao Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Shimao Group Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.08 -2.03 -2.75 -4.18 -2.42

Shimao Group Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.75 0.00 -4.18 0.00 -2.42

Shimao Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Shimao Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shimao Group Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Shimao Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shimao Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


SHMAY
34GF Score
Shimao Group Holdings Ltd SHMAY
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Shimao Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Shimao Group Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 2.0712+0.528 * 0.0966+0.404 * 1.0212+0.892 * 0.4898+0.115 * 0.9009
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.9286+4.679 * 0.033664-0.327 * 0.9649
=-2.42

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was $12,061 Mil.
Revenue was $4,035 Mil.
Gross Profit was $-4,086 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $40,467 Mil.
Total Assets was $50,718 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,533 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $127 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $626 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $38,731 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $9,048 Mil.
Net Income was $2,055 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $348 Mil.
Total Receivables was $11,889 Mil.
Revenue was $8,238 Mil.
Gross Profit was $-806 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $47,937 Mil.
Total Assets was $59,943 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,918 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $142 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $662 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $52,774 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,750 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(12061.153 / 4034.781) / (11889.174 / 8237.541)
=2.989296 / 1.443292
=2.0712

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(-806.045 / 8237.541) / (-4085.697 / 4034.781)
=-0.09785 / -1.012619
=0.0966

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (40466.949 + 1533.42) / 50717.708) / (1 - (47936.562 + 1917.593) / 59943.274)
=0.17188 / 0.168311
=1.0212

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4034.781 / 8237.541
=0.4898

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(141.943 / (141.943 + 1917.593)) / (127.03 / (127.03 + 1533.42))
=0.06892 / 0.076503
=0.9009

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(625.769 / 4034.781) / (662.462 / 8237.541)
=0.155094 / 0.08042
=1.9286

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((9047.621 + 38731.499) / 50717.708) / ((5749.619 + 52774.357) / 59943.274)
=0.94206 / 0.976323
=0.9649

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2054.941 - 0 - 347.595) / 50717.708
=0.033664

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Shimao Group Holdings has a M-score of -2.42 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.42 mean?
Shimao Group Holdings (SHMAY) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.42 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Shimao Group Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Shimao Group Holdings ranks #768 out of 1681 companies in the Real Estate industry, placing it in the top 45.7%.
Is Shimao Group Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Shimao Group Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -2.42. Based on the distribution chart, Shimao Group Holdings ranks #768 out of 1681 companies in the Real Estate industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Shimao Group Holdings has a GF Score™ of 34/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Shimao Group Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Real Estate industry distribution chart, Shimao Group Holdings ranks #768 out of 1681 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Shimao Group Holdings in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Real Estate company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Real Estate industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Shimao Group Holdings and its competitors. Shimao Group Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -2.42. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Shimao Group Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Shimao Group Holdings (SHMAY) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.42. The stock's GF Value™ is $11.06, compared to a current price of $5.39 — trading 51.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.42. Shimao Group Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 34/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Shimao Group Holdings (SHMAY), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.42 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Shimao Group Holdings (SHMAY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Shimao Group Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $5.39 is trading 51.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of $11.06.

Key valuation signals for SHMAY:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.42
  • GF Value™: $11.06 vs. price of $5.39 (51.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 34/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SHMAY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Shimao Group Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges 00813:Hong Kong
Address 89 Queensway, 38th Floor, Tower One, Lippo Centre, Hong Kong, HKG
Shimao Group Holdings Ltd is engaged in the development and investment of residential and commercial properties, property management, commercial properties operation and hotel operation in China. The company earns revenue from Sales of properties, Hotel operation income, Commercial properties operation income and Property management income, and others. The company operates in single segment Property development and investment.
34GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SHMAY

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$5.39
Price
$11.06
GF Value