Erste Bank Polska (STU:BZI) Beneish M-Score: -2.39 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


STU:BZI Erste Bank Polska SA STU:BZI
79 GF Score
Price €149.90
GF Value €120.65
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 9 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Erste Bank Polska Beneish M-Score?

Erste Bank Polska STU:BZI +0.33% 79 Beneish M-Score is -2.39 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates STU:BZI with a GF Score™ of 79/100 and a GF Value™ of €120.65 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,396 Banks companies, Erste Bank Polska ranks worse than 51.72% on this metric.

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.39 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Erste Bank Polska's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

STU:BZI' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.62   Med: -2.5   Max: -2.13
Current: -2.39

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Erste Bank Polska was -2.13. The lowest was -3.62. And the median was -2.50.

STU:BZI
79GF Score
Erste Bank Polska SA STU:BZI
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Erste Bank Polska Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Erste Bank Polska for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 0.9998+0.892 * 1.0338+0.115 * 1.0808
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1432+4.679 * 0.014006-0.327 * 0.9684
=-2.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €0 Mil.
Revenue was 929.876 + 934.963 + 930.448 + 943.745 = €3,739 Mil.
Gross Profit was 929.876 + 934.963 + 930.448 + 943.745 = €3,739 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €0 Mil.
Total Assets was €70,913 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €297 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €132 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €309 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €3,926 Mil.
Net Income was 239.407 + 428.252 + 440.001 + 237.135 = €1,345 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -642.713 + 1065.84 + 281.458 + -353.014 = €352 Mil.
 Total Receivables was €0 Mil.
Revenue was 920.055 + 921.92 + 919.182 + 855.798 = €3,617 Mil.
Gross Profit was 920.055 + 921.92 + 919.182 + 855.798 = €3,617 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €0 Mil.
Total Assets was €73,080 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €292 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €145 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €262 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €4,178 Mil.

1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 3739.032) / (0 / 3616.955)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3616.955 / 3616.955) / (3739.032 / 3739.032)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 296.719) / 70913.355) / (1 - (0 + 292.19) / 73080.1)
=0.995816 / 0.996002
=0.9998

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3739.032 / 3616.955
=1.0338

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(145.163 / (145.163 + 292.19)) / (131.512 / (131.512 + 296.719))
=0.331913 / 0.307105
=1.0808

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(309.451 / 3739.032) / (261.856 / 3616.955)
=0.082762 / 0.072397
=1.1432

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3925.969 + 0) / 70913.355) / ((4177.933 + 0) / 73080.1)
=0.055363 / 0.057169
=0.9684

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1344.795 - 0 - 351.571) / 70913.355
=0.014006

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Erste Bank Polska has a M-score of -2.39 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.39 mean?
Erste Bank Polska (STU:BZI) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.39 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Erste Bank Polska and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Erste Bank Polska ranks #722 out of 1396 companies in the Banks industry, placing it in the top 51.7%.
Is Erste Bank Polska's Beneish M-Score too high?
Erste Bank Polska's current Beneish M-Score is -2.39. Based on the distribution chart, Erste Bank Polska ranks #722 out of 1396 companies in the Banks industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Erste Bank Polska has a GF Score™ of 79/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Erste Bank Polska's Beneish M-Score compare to PNC?
According to the Banks industry distribution chart, Erste Bank Polska ranks #722 out of 1396 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Erste Bank Polska in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Banks company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Banks industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Erste Bank Polska and its competitors. Erste Bank Polska's current Beneish M-Score is -2.39. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Erste Bank Polska stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Erste Bank Polska (STU:BZI) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €120.65, compared to a current price of €149.90 — trading 24.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.39. Erste Bank Polska's overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Erste Bank Polska (STU:BZI), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.39 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Erste Bank Polska (STU:BZI) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Erste Bank Polska stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €149.90 is trading 24.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of €120.65. GuruFocus considers Erste Bank Polska to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for STU:BZI:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.39
  • GF Value™: €120.65 vs. price of €149.90 (24.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the STU:BZI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Erste Bank Polska Business Description

Address Plac Europejski 3A, Warszawa, POL, 00-854
Erste Bank Polska SA is a commercial bank. It provides financial products and services such as Personal accounts, Payment cards, Loans, Savings and investments, and products for overseas customers.
79GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STU:BZI

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€149.90
Price
€120.65
GF Value