Orange Polska (STU:TPA1) Beneish M-Score: -2.98 (As of Jul. 05, 2026)


STU:TPA1 Orange Polska SA STU:TPA1
67 GF Score
Price €3.30
GF Value €1.99
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Orange Polska Beneish M-Score?

Orange Polska STU:TPA1 +0.46% 67 Beneish M-Score is -2.98 as of Jul. 05, 2026. GuruFocus rates STU:TPA1 with a GF Score™ of 67/100 and a GF Value™ of €1.99 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 351 Telecommunication Services companies, Orange Polska ranks better than 68.38% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.98 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Orange Polska's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

STU:TPA1' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.28   Med: -2.9   Max: -2.62
Current: -2.98

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Orange Polska was -2.62. The lowest was -3.28. And the median was -2.90.


Orange Polska Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Orange Polska's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Orange Polska Beneish M-Score Chart

Orange Polska Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.64 -2.70 -2.90 -2.97 -2.98

Orange Polska Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.98 0.00

STU:TPA1 vs TMUS, VZ, T: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Telecom Services subindustry, Orange Polska's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Orange Polska Beneish M-Score vs Telecommunication Services Industry

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, Orange Polska's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Orange Polska's Beneish M-Score falls into.


STU:TPA1
67GF Score
Orange Polska SA STU:TPA1
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Orange Polska Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Orange Polska for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9659+0.528 * 0.9996+0.404 * 0.9932+0.892 * 1.0315+0.115 * 0.9742
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.105117-0.327 * 0.9935
=-2.98

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was €496 Mil.
Revenue was €3,038 Mil.
Gross Profit was €1,243 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €886 Mil.
Total Assets was €6,248 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €3,084 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €627 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,740 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €891 Mil.
Net Income was €176 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €833 Mil.
Total Receivables was €497 Mil.
Revenue was €2,945 Mil.
Gross Profit was €1,205 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €877 Mil.
Total Assets was €6,153 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €3,018 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €595 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,123 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,485 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(495.531 / 3038.19) / (497.381 / 2945.423)
=0.163101 / 0.168866
=0.9659

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1204.588 / 2945.423) / (1242.991 / 3038.19)
=0.408969 / 0.409122
=0.9996

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (886.495 + 3084.458) / 6248.034) / (1 - (877.01 + 3018.295) / 6153.185)
=0.364448 / 0.366945
=0.9932

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3038.19 / 2945.423
=1.0315

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(595.007 / (595.007 + 3018.295)) / (627.394 / (627.394 + 3084.458))
=0.164671 / 0.169025
=0.9742

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 3038.19) / (0 / 2945.423)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((891.354 + 1739.909) / 6248.034) / ((1484.972 + 1123.388) / 6153.185)
=0.421135 / 0.423904
=0.9935

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(176.281 - 0 - 833.056) / 6248.034
=-0.105117

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Orange Polska has a M-score of -2.98 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.98 mean?
Orange Polska (STU:TPA1) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.98 as of Jul. 05, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Orange Polska and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Orange Polska ranks #111 out of 351 companies in the Telecommunication Services industry, placing it in the top 31.6%.
Is Orange Polska's Beneish M-Score too high?
Orange Polska's current Beneish M-Score is -2.98. Based on the distribution chart, Orange Polska ranks #111 out of 351 companies in the Telecommunication Services industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Orange Polska has a GF Score™ of 67/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Orange Polska's Beneish M-Score compare to TMUS and VZ?
According to the Telecommunication Services industry distribution chart, Orange Polska ranks #111 out of 351 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Orange Polska in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Telecommunication Services company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Telecommunication Services industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Orange Polska and its competitors. Orange Polska's current Beneish M-Score is -2.98. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Orange Polska stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Orange Polska (STU:TPA1) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €1.99, compared to a current price of €3.30 — trading 65.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.98. Orange Polska's overall GF Score™ is 67/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Orange Polska (STU:TPA1), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.98 as of Jul. 05, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Orange Polska (STU:TPA1) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Orange Polska stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €3.30 is trading 65.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of €1.99. GuruFocus considers Orange Polska to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for STU:TPA1:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.98
  • GF Value™: €1.99 vs. price of €3.30 (65.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 67/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the STU:TPA1 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Orange Polska Business Description

Other Exchanges OPL:PolandTPA1:Germany
Address 160 Aleje Jerozolimskie Street, Warsaw, POL, 02-326
Orange Polska SA is a provider of telecommunications services in Poland. The Group provides mobile and fixed telecommunications services, including calls, messaging, content, access to the Internet and TV. In addition, it provides IT and integration services, leased lines and other telecommunications value-added services, sells telecommunications equipment, provides data transmission, constructs telecommunications infrastructure, and sells electrical energy. It derives revenue from the provision of Internet, mobile, and television services. The maximum of the company's revenue is earned through mobile-only services.
67GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STU:TPA1

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€3.30
Price
€1.99
GF Value