Shandong Dawn Polymer Co (SZSE:002838) Beneish M-Score: -2.41 (As of Aug. 18, 2026)

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SZSE:002838 Shandong Dawn Polymer Co Ltd SZSE:002838
72 GF Score
Price ¥26.25
GF Value ¥18.43
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Shandong Dawn Polymer Co Beneish M-Score?

Shandong Dawn Polymer Co SZSE:002838 -3.46% 72 Beneish M-Score is -2.41 as of Aug. 18, 2026. GuruFocus rates SZSE:002838 with a GF Score™ of 72/100 and a GF Value™ of ¥18.43 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,528 Chemicals companies, Shandong Dawn Polymer Co ranks worse than 57.26% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.41 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Shandong Dawn Polymer Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SZSE:002838' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.46   Med: -1.97   Max: 1.01
Current: -2.41

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Shandong Dawn Polymer Co was 1.01. The lowest was -3.46. And the median was -1.97.


Shandong Dawn Polymer Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Shandong Dawn Polymer Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Shandong Dawn Polymer Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Shandong Dawn Polymer Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.42 -1.79 -2.29 -1.98 -2.25

Shandong Dawn Polymer Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.88 -1.86 -1.86 -2.25 -2.41

SZSE:002838 vs LIN, SHW, ECL: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Shandong Dawn Polymer Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shandong Dawn Polymer Co Beneish M-Score vs Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Shandong Dawn Polymer Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shandong Dawn Polymer Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


SZSE:002838
72GF Score
Shandong Dawn Polymer Co Ltd SZSE:002838
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Shandong Dawn Polymer Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Shandong Dawn Polymer Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9338+0.528 * 0.9336+0.404 * 0.975+0.892 * 1.2055+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.202+4.679 * 0.009662-0.327 * 1.0683
=-2.41

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥3,029 Mil.
Revenue was 1715.956 + 1600.194 + 1574.428 + 1595.328 = ¥6,486 Mil.
Gross Profit was 252.047 + 242.277 + 200.37 + 166.915 = ¥862 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥5,544 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥8,678 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥2,334 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥94 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥3,855 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥547 Mil.
Net Income was 119.089 + 58.309 + 46.55 + 39.76 = ¥264 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 129.862 + 89.627 + -110.612 + 70.979 = ¥180 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥2,691 Mil.
Revenue was 1285.974 + 1531.985 + 1446.583 + 1115.614 = ¥5,380 Mil.
Gross Profit was 172.711 + 205.609 + 161.14 + 127.801 = ¥667 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥4,362 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥6,691 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥1,696 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥65 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥2,539 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥638 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3029.186 / 6485.906) / (2690.954 / 5380.156)
=0.467041 / 0.500163
=0.9338

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(667.261 / 5380.156) / (861.609 / 6485.906)
=0.124023 / 0.132843
=0.9336

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5543.638 + 2333.919) / 8678.151) / (1 - (4362.054 + 1696.155) / 6691.341)
=0.092254 / 0.09462
=0.975

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=6485.906 / 5380.156
=1.2055

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 1696.155)) / (0 / (0 + 2333.919))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(93.781 / 6485.906) / (64.716 / 5380.156)
=0.014459 / 0.012029
=1.202

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((546.993 + 3854.505) / 8678.151) / ((637.7 + 2538.99) / 6691.341)
=0.507193 / 0.474746
=1.0683

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(263.708 - 0 - 179.856) / 8678.151
=0.009662

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Shandong Dawn Polymer Co has a M-score of -2.41 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.41 mean?
Shandong Dawn Polymer Co (SZSE:002838) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.41 as of Aug. 18, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Shandong Dawn Polymer Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Shandong Dawn Polymer Co ranks #875 out of 1528 companies in the Chemicals industry, placing it in the top 57.3%.
Is Shandong Dawn Polymer Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Shandong Dawn Polymer Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.41. Based on the distribution chart, Shandong Dawn Polymer Co ranks #875 out of 1528 companies in the Chemicals industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Shandong Dawn Polymer Co has a GF Score™ of 72/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Shandong Dawn Polymer Co's Beneish M-Score compare to LIN and SHW?
According to the Chemicals industry distribution chart, Shandong Dawn Polymer Co ranks #875 out of 1528 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Shandong Dawn Polymer Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Chemicals company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Chemicals industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Shandong Dawn Polymer Co and its competitors. Shandong Dawn Polymer Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.41. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Shandong Dawn Polymer Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Shandong Dawn Polymer Co (SZSE:002838) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ¥18.43, compared to a current price of ¥26.25 — trading 42.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.41. Shandong Dawn Polymer Co's overall GF Score™ is 72/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Shandong Dawn Polymer Co (SZSE:002838), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.41 as of Aug. 18, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Shandong Dawn Polymer Co (SZSE:002838) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Shandong Dawn Polymer Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ¥26.25 is trading 42.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of ¥18.43. GuruFocus considers Shandong Dawn Polymer Co to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for SZSE:002838:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.41
  • GF Value™: ¥18.43 vs. price of ¥26.25 (42.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 72/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SZSE:002838 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Shandong Dawn Polymer Co Business Description

Address Zhenxing Road Dawn Economic & Industry Park, Zhenxing, CHN
Shandong Dawn Polymer Co Ltd is engaged in manufacturing of thermoplastic vulcanizates (TPV). The product range includes automobile materials, flame retardant plastic, flame retardant reinforced plastic, glass fiber reinforced plastic, plastic alloy, high-melt woven plastics, filler master batches, color master batch, special engineering plastics and others. The product is well sold in Chinese and other international marker such as Europe, East South of Asia, South Africa, becoming one of the largest scales of engineering plastic production base in China.
72GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SZSE:002838

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

¥26.25
Price
¥18.43
GF Value