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Shandong Dawn Polymer Co (SZSE:002838) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : ¥2.36 (As of Jun. 05, 2025)


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What is Shandong Dawn Polymer Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2025-06-05), Shandong Dawn Polymer Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ¥2.36. The stock price of Shandong Dawn Polymer Co is ¥18.23. Therefore, Shandong Dawn Polymer Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 7.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Shandong Dawn Polymer Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SZSE:002838' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.44   Med: 3.99   Max: 15.34
Current: 7.72

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Shandong Dawn Polymer Co was 15.34. The lowest was 2.44. And the median was 3.99.

SZSE:002838's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
91.63% of 1099 companies
in the Chemicals industry
Industry Median: 1.19 vs SZSE:002838: 7.72

Shandong Dawn Polymer Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Shandong Dawn Polymer Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Shandong Dawn Polymer Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Shandong Dawn Polymer Co Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.07 5.36 4.38 3.21 2.76

Shandong Dawn Polymer Co Quarterly Data
Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.32 3.43 3.61 2.76 2.36

Competitive Comparison of Shandong Dawn Polymer Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Shandong Dawn Polymer Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shandong Dawn Polymer Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Shandong Dawn Polymer Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shandong Dawn Polymer Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


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Shandong Dawn Polymer Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Shandong Dawn Polymer Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = ¥-161.81.

Shandong Dawn Polymer Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-161.8104+3234.492*0.8)/442.844
=2.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Shandong Dawn Polymer Co  (SZSE:002838) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Shandong Dawn Polymer Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=18.23/2.3644933658722
=7.71

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Shandong Dawn Polymer Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Shandong Dawn Polymer Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Zhenxing Road Dawn Economic & Industry Park, Zhenxing, CHN
Shandong Dawn Polymer Co Ltd is engaged in manufacturing of thermoplastic vulcanizates (TPV). The product range includes automobile materials, flame retardant plastic, flame retardant reinforced plastic, glass fiber reinforced plastic, plastic alloy, high-melt woven plastics, filler master batches, color master batch, special engineering plastics and others. The product is well sold in Chinese and other international marker such as Europe, East South of Asia, South Africa, becoming one of the largest scales of engineering plastic production base in China.
Executives
Tan Jian Ming Executives
Tian Hong Chi Directors, executives
Hao Wen Peng Director
Song Hui Dong Director
Wu Di Executives
Zhao Xiang Wei Executives
Suo Yan Hui Director
Zang Yun Tao Executives
Wang You Qing Directors, executives
Han Li Mei Director
Su Chang Supervisors

Shandong Dawn Polymer Co Headlines

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