Watts Co (TSE:2735) Beneish M-Score: -1.99 (As of Jul. 21, 2026)

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TSE:2735 Watts Co Ltd TSE:2735
61 GF Score
Price 円675.00
GF Value 円689.31
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Watts Co Beneish M-Score?

Watts Co TSE:2735 +1.50% 61 Beneish M-Score is -1.99 as of Jul. 21, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:2735 with a GF Score™ of 61/100 and a GF Value™ of 円689.31 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 295 Retail - Defensive companies, Watts Co ranks worse than 83.05% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.99 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Watts Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:2735' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.92   Med: -2.47   Max: -1.99
Current: -1.99

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Watts Co was -1.99. The lowest was -2.92. And the median was -2.47.


Watts Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Watts Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Watts Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Watts Co Annual Data
Trend Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23 Aug24 Aug25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.36 -2.46 -2.47 -2.88 -1.99

Watts Co Quarterly Data
Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26 May26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -1.99 0.00 0.00 0.00

TSE:2735 vs KR: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Watts Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Watts Co Beneish M-Score vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Watts Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Watts Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:2735
61GF Score
Watts Co Ltd TSE:2735
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Watts Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Watts Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9867+0.528 * 0.9919+0.404 * 1.0541+0.892 * 1.0052+0.115 * 0.9135
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * 0.095923-0.327 * 0.8754
=-1.99

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Aug25) TTM:Last Year (Aug24) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円3,502 Mil.
Revenue was 円61,579 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円23,908 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円21,186 Mil.
Total Assets was 円27,511 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円2,343 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円948 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円11,021 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円1,962 Mil.
Net Income was 円871 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円-1,768 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円3,530 Mil.
Revenue was 円61,257 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円23,591 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円24,050 Mil.
Total Assets was 円30,280 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円2,072 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円740 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円14,116 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円2,208 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3501.633 / 61578.772) / (3530.17 / 61257.283)
=0.056864 / 0.057629
=0.9867

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(23590.969 / 61257.283) / (23907.654 / 61578.772)
=0.385113 / 0.388245
=0.9919

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (21185.526 + 2343.171) / 27510.76) / (1 - (24050.136 + 2072.031) / 30280.173)
=0.144746 / 0.137318
=1.0541

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=61578.772 / 61257.283
=1.0052

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(739.747 / (739.747 + 2072.031)) / (947.797 / (947.797 + 2343.171))
=0.263089 / 0.287999
=0.9135

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 61578.772) / (0 / 61257.283)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1962.278 + 11021.156) / 27510.76) / ((2207.659 + 14116.305) / 30280.173)
=0.47194 / 0.539097
=0.8754

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(870.678 - 0 - -1768.241) / 27510.76
=0.095923

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Watts Co has a M-score of -1.99 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.99 mean?
Watts Co (TSE:2735) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.99 as of Jul. 21, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Watts Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Watts Co ranks #245 out of 295 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 83.1%.
Is Watts Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Watts Co's current Beneish M-Score is -1.99. Based on the distribution chart, Watts Co ranks #245 out of 295 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Watts Co has a GF Score™ of 61/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Watts Co's Beneish M-Score compare to KR?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Watts Co ranks #245 out of 295 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Watts Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Retail - Defensive company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Retail - Defensive industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Watts Co and its competitors. Watts Co's current Beneish M-Score is -1.99. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Watts Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Watts Co (TSE:2735) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円689.31, compared to a current price of 円675.00 — trading 2.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.99. Watts Co's overall GF Score™ is 61/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Watts Co (TSE:2735), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.99 as of Jul. 21, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Watts Co (TSE:2735) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Watts Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円675.00 is trading 2.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円689.31. GuruFocus considers Watts Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:2735:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.99
  • GF Value™: 円689.31 vs. price of 円675.00 (2.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 61/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:2735 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Watts Co Business Description

Address Shiromi 1-4-70, Chuo-ku, Sumitomo Life Insurance OBP Plaza Building, 5th Floor, Osaka, JPN, 540-0001
Watts Co Ltd is engaged in the wholesale of daily necessities, grocery and food products, and other goods. The company's product profile includes Sanitary goods, Cleaning sheet, Water supply equipment, Lunch supplies, and other related products.
61GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:2735

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円675.00
Price
円689.31
GF Value