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ITOCHU (TSE:8001) Beneish M-Score

: -2.50 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.5 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for ITOCHU's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:8001' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.97   Med: -2.45   Max: -1.49
Current: -2.5

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of ITOCHU was -1.49. The lowest was -2.97. And the median was -2.45.


ITOCHU Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for ITOCHU's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

ITOCHU Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.49 -2.95 -2.72 -2.20 -2.44

ITOCHU Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.31 -2.44 -2.46 -2.46 -2.50

Competitive Comparison

For the Conglomerates subindustry, ITOCHU's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ITOCHU Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, ITOCHU's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ITOCHU's Beneish M-Score falls into.



ITOCHU Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of ITOCHU for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0382+0.528 * 0.9912+0.404 * 1.0304+0.892 * 1.0079+0.115 * 0.9909
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0359+4.679 * -0.013798-0.327 * 0.9983
=-2.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円3,250,481 Mil.
Revenue was 3676963 + 3425607 + 3348491 + 3401414 = 円13,852,475 Mil.
Gross Profit was 580749 + 549761 + 517867 + 495532 = 円2,143,909 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円5,803,447 Mil.
Total Assets was 円14,359,582 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円2,046,063 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円417,354 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円1,469,126 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円4,755,159 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円3,242,966 Mil.
Net Income was 198794 + 199662 + 213237 + 118290 = 円729,983 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 157071 + 255172 + 214041 + 301839 = 円928,123 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円3,106,250 Mil.
Revenue was 3552055 + 3614143 + 3378021 + 3199694 = 円13,743,913 Mil.
Gross Profit was 549958 + 559370 + 525043 + 473929 = 円2,108,300 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円5,611,133 Mil.
Total Assets was 円13,599,163 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円2,004,688 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円404,458 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円1,407,155 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円4,423,279 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円3,163,933 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3250481 / 13852475) / (3106250 / 13743913)
=0.23465 / 0.226009
=1.0382

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2108300 / 13743913) / (2143909 / 13852475)
=0.153399 / 0.154767
=0.9912

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5803447 + 2046063) / 14359582) / (1 - (5611133 + 2004688) / 13599163)
=0.453361 / 0.439979
=1.0304

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=13852475 / 13743913
=1.0079

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(404458 / (404458 + 2004688)) / (417354 / (417354 + 2046063))
=0.167884 / 0.169421
=0.9909

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1469126 / 13852475) / (1407155 / 13743913)
=0.106055 / 0.102384
=1.0359

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3242966 + 4755159) / 14359582) / ((3163933 + 4423279) / 13599163)
=0.556989 / 0.557918
=0.9983

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(729983 - 0 - 928123) / 14359582
=-0.013798

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

ITOCHU has a M-score of -2.50 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


ITOCHU (TSE:8001) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
5-1, Kita Aoyama 2-chome, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 107-8077
ITOCHU Corp is a group of businesses that engage in importing, exporting, and trading various products. The traded goods include textiles, machinery, metals, minerals, energy, chemicals, food, general products, realty, and information and communications technology. The largest segments by net profit to the group are Food and Energy and Chemicals. Food segment pursues efficiency-oriented operations from production and distribution to retail in all areas of food from raw materials to finished products both in Japan and overseas. The energy and chemicals segment trades crude oil and oil derivatives and chemicals.

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