Hokkaido Gas Co (TSE:9534) Beneish M-Score: -2.84 (As of Jul. 17, 2026)

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TSE:9534 Hokkaido Gas Co Ltd TSE:9534
74 GF Score
Price 円776.00
GF Value 円568.93
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Hokkaido Gas Co Beneish M-Score?

Hokkaido Gas Co TSE:9534 +0.26% 74 Beneish M-Score is -2.84 as of Jul. 17, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:9534 with a GF Score™ of 74/100 and a GF Value™ of 円568.93 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 487 Utilities - Regulated companies, Hokkaido Gas Co ranks better than 79.06% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.84 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hokkaido Gas Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:9534' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.11   Med: -2.81   Max: -1.96
Current: -2.84

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Hokkaido Gas Co was -1.96. The lowest was -3.11. And the median was -2.81.


Hokkaido Gas Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Hokkaido Gas Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Hokkaido Gas Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Hokkaido Gas Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.75 -1.96 -2.88 -3.01 -2.84

Hokkaido Gas Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.01 -2.86 -3.03 -3.00 -2.84

TSE:9534 vs ATO, NI: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Gas subindustry, Hokkaido Gas Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hokkaido Gas Co Beneish M-Score vs Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Hokkaido Gas Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hokkaido Gas Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:9534
74GF Score
Hokkaido Gas Co Ltd TSE:9534
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Hokkaido Gas Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Hokkaido Gas Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9615+0.528 * 0.9384+0.404 * 1.0773+0.892 * 1.0248+0.115 * 0.986
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0443+4.679 * -0.07822-0.327 * 0.8942
=-2.84

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円19,630 Mil.
Revenue was 59767 + 43385 + 33071 + 38296 = 円174,519 Mil.
Gross Profit was 19161 + 11368 + 9904 + 14572 = 円55,005 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円46,055 Mil.
Total Assets was 円198,198 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円128,011 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円15,939 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円38,567 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円44,927 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円42,947 Mil.
Net Income was 5745 + 881 + 596 + 4303 = 円11,525 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 17147 + -4800 + 10780 + 3901 = 円27,028 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円19,922 Mil.
Revenue was 59177 + 43094 + 31491 + 36533 = 円170,295 Mil.
Gross Profit was 18797 + 9610 + 8799 + 13161 = 円50,367 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円51,086 Mil.
Total Assets was 円195,431 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円122,258 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円14,983 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円36,037 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円45,641 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円51,258 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(19630 / 174519) / (19922 / 170295)
=0.112481 / 0.116985
=0.9615

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(50367 / 170295) / (55005 / 174519)
=0.295763 / 0.315181
=0.9384

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (46055 + 128011) / 198198) / (1 - (51086 + 122258) / 195431)
=0.121757 / 0.113017
=1.0773

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=174519 / 170295
=1.0248

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(14983 / (14983 + 122258)) / (15939 / (15939 + 128011))
=0.109173 / 0.110726
=0.986

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(38567 / 174519) / (36037 / 170295)
=0.22099 / 0.211615
=1.0443

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((42947 + 44927) / 198198) / ((51258 + 45641) / 195431)
=0.443365 / 0.495822
=0.8942

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(11525 - 0 - 27028) / 198198
=-0.07822

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Hokkaido Gas Co has a M-score of -2.84 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.84 mean?
Hokkaido Gas Co (TSE:9534) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.84 as of Jul. 17, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Hokkaido Gas Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Hokkaido Gas Co ranks #102 out of 487 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, placing it in the top 20.9%.
Is Hokkaido Gas Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Hokkaido Gas Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.84. Based on the distribution chart, Hokkaido Gas Co ranks #102 out of 487 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Hokkaido Gas Co has a GF Score™ of 74/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Hokkaido Gas Co's Beneish M-Score compare to ATO and NI?
According to the Utilities - Regulated industry distribution chart, Hokkaido Gas Co ranks #102 out of 487 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Hokkaido Gas Co in the top 21% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Utilities - Regulated company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Utilities - Regulated industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Hokkaido Gas Co and its competitors. Hokkaido Gas Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.84. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Hokkaido Gas Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hokkaido Gas Co (TSE:9534) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円568.93, compared to a current price of 円776.00 — trading 36.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.84. Hokkaido Gas Co's overall GF Score™ is 74/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Hokkaido Gas Co (TSE:9534), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.84 as of Jul. 17, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Hokkaido Gas Co (TSE:9534) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hokkaido Gas Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円776.00 is trading 36.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円568.93. GuruFocus considers Hokkaido Gas Co to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:9534:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.84
  • GF Value™: 円568.93 vs. price of 円776.00 (36.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 74/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:9534 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Hokkaido Gas Co Business Description

Address Kita 7-jo Higashi 2-chome 1-1, Sapporo City Higashi Ward, Sapporo, JPN
Hokkaido Gas Co Ltd is a Japan-based company operating in the utility sector. Its business activities included gas, heat supply, power supply, and sale of gas by-products. The company is also engaged in the production and sale of gas appliances and related construction work. Hokkaido serves to individual and corporate customers in areas throughout Japan including Sapporo, Otaru, Hakodate, Chitose, Ishikari, Kitahiroshima, Eniwa, Hokuto, and Kitami.
74GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:9534

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円776.00
Price
円568.93
GF Value