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Calian Group (TSX:CGY) Beneish M-Score

: -2.32 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.32 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Calian Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:CGY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.21   Med: -2.33   Max: -1.63
Current: -2.32

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Calian Group was -1.63. The lowest was -3.21. And the median was -2.33.


Calian Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Calian Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Calian Group Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.34 -1.82 -2.41 -2.44 -2.64

Calian Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.91 -2.75 -2.40 -2.64 -2.32

Competitive Comparison

For the Specialty Business Services subindustry, Calian Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Calian Group Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Calian Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Calian Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Calian Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Calian Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1775+0.528 * 0.9571+0.404 * 1.1491+0.892 * 1.15+0.115 * 1.5664
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0794+4.679 * -0.031215-0.327 * 1.2418
=-2.32

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$185.2 Mil.
Revenue was 179.179 + 175.948 + 166.55 + 168.543 = C$690.2 Mil.
Gross Profit was 58.218 + 55.796 + 51.107 + 52.091 = C$217.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$305.6 Mil.
Total Assets was C$703.3 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$64.5 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$30.8 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$134.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$302.1 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$33.6 Mil.
Net Income was 5.525 + 5.119 + 4.673 + 4.517 = C$19.8 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -1.33 + -3.123 + -0.138 + -2.612 = C$-7.2 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 17.538 + 22.704 + 2.545 + 6.203 = C$49.0 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$136.7 Mil.
Revenue was 147.543 + 160.55 + 150.018 + 142.102 = C$600.2 Mil.
Gross Profit was 45.219 + 50.15 + 45.503 + 39.919 = C$180.8 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$276.4 Mil.
Total Assets was C$523.9 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$31.6 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$32.3 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$108.1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$187.1 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$14.3 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(185.15 / 690.22) / (136.739 / 600.213)
=0.268248 / 0.227817
=1.1775

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(180.791 / 600.213) / (217.212 / 690.22)
=0.301211 / 0.3147
=0.9571

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (305.648 + 64.536) / 703.278) / (1 - (276.388 + 31.567) / 523.887)
=0.473631 / 0.412173
=1.1491

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=690.22 / 600.213
=1.15

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(32.28 / (32.28 + 31.567)) / (30.759 / (30.759 + 64.536))
=0.505584 / 0.322777
=1.5664

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(134.216 / 690.22) / (108.127 / 600.213)
=0.194454 / 0.180148
=1.0794

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((33.571 + 302.083) / 703.278) / ((14.281 + 187.064) / 523.887)
=0.477271 / 0.384329
=1.2418

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(19.834 - -7.203 - 48.99) / 703.278
=-0.031215

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Calian Group has a M-score of -2.32 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Calian Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Calian Group (TSX:CGY) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
770 Palladium Drive, Ottawa, ON, CAN, K2V 1C8
Calian Group Ltd provides services and solutions to both industry and government customers in the areas of health, learning, defence, security, aerospace, engineering, AgTech, satellite communications (satcom), and IT. The company operates through four segments namely Advanced Technologies, Health, Learning, and IT and Cyber Solutions (ITCS). It generates maximum revenue from the ITCS segment. The ITCS portfolio of the company includes on-demand resourcing, IT and cybersecurity consulting, managed services, Software as a Service (Saas) and others. Geographically, the company generates the majority of its revenue from its operations in Canada and also has presence in United States, Europe and other regions.

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