The Estee Lauder (WBO:ESLA) Beneish M-Score: -2.75 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


WBO:ESLA The Estee Lauder Companies Inc WBO:ESLA
69 GF Score
Price €74.00
GF Value €79.44
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is The Estee Lauder Beneish M-Score?

The Estee Lauder WBO:ESLA +0.74% 69 Beneish M-Score is -2.75 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates WBO:ESLA with a GF Score™ of 69/100 and a GF Value™ of €79.44 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,849 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, The Estee Lauder ranks better than 69.55% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.75 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Estee Lauder's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WBO:ESLA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.01   Med: -2.65   Max: -2.01
Current: -2.75

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of The Estee Lauder was -2.01. The lowest was -3.01. And the median was -2.65.


The Estee Lauder Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for The Estee Lauder's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The Estee Lauder Beneish M-Score Chart

The Estee Lauder Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.18 -2.60 -2.59 -2.63 -2.76

The Estee Lauder Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.69 -2.76 -2.77 -2.70 -2.75

WBO:ESLA vs KMB, KVUE, CHD: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Household & Personal Products subindustry, The Estee Lauder's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Estee Lauder Beneish M-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, The Estee Lauder's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Estee Lauder's Beneish M-Score falls into.


WBO:ESLA
69GF Score
The Estee Lauder Companies Inc WBO:ESLA
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

The Estee Lauder Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of The Estee Lauder for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9816+0.528 * 0.9889+0.404 * 0.9606+0.892 * 0.9282+0.115 * 0.9767
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9902+4.679 * -0.04562-0.327 * 1.0377
=-2.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €1,510 Mil.
Revenue was 3210.88 + 3611.566 + 2965.812 + 2957.337 = €12,746 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2453.14 + 2762.69 + 2176.008 + 2129.352 = €9,521 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €6,484 Mil.
Total Assets was €17,009 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €4,006 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €695 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €8,178 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €5,113 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €7,263 Mil.
Net Income was 76.985 + 138.348 + 40.044 + -473.382 = €-218 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -269.015 + -180.194 + -79.236 + -462.111 = €-991 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 356.38 + 960.75 + -289.68 + 521.067 = €1,549 Mil.
Total Receivables was €1,658 Mil.
Revenue was 3283.75 + 3823.82 + 3028.261 + 3596.159 = €13,732 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2461.425 + 2909.885 + 2192.133 + 2580.762 = €10,144 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €6,491 Mil.
Total Assets was €18,395 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €4,564 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €770 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €8,898 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €4,592 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €8,307 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1510.29 / 12745.595) / (1657.6 / 13731.99)
=0.118495 / 0.120711
=0.9816

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(10144.205 / 13731.99) / (9521.19 / 12745.595)
=0.738728 / 0.747018
=0.9889

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (6484.04 + 4005.815) / 17009.36) / (1 - (6490.725 + 4563.95) / 18394.55)
=0.383289 / 0.399024
=0.9606

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=12745.595 / 13731.99
=0.9282

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(769.812 / (769.812 + 4563.95)) / (694.573 / (694.573 + 4005.815))
=0.144328 / 0.147769
=0.9767

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(8178.09 / 12745.595) / (8898.299 / 13731.99)
=0.641641 / 0.647998
=0.9902

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((7263.405 + 5113.015) / 17009.36) / ((8306.5 + 4591.7) / 18394.55)
=0.727624 / 0.701197
=1.0377

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-218.005 - -990.556 - 1548.517) / 17009.36
=-0.04562

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The Estee Lauder has a M-score of -2.81 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.75 mean?
The Estee Lauder (WBO:ESLA) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.75 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on The Estee Lauder and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, The Estee Lauder ranks #563 out of 1849 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 30.4%.
Is The Estee Lauder's Beneish M-Score too high?
The Estee Lauder's current Beneish M-Score is -2.75. Based on the distribution chart, The Estee Lauder ranks #563 out of 1849 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, The Estee Lauder has a GF Score™ of 69/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The Estee Lauder's Beneish M-Score compare to KMB and KVUE?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, The Estee Lauder ranks #563 out of 1849 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts The Estee Lauder in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on The Estee Lauder and its competitors. The Estee Lauder's current Beneish M-Score is -2.75. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The Estee Lauder stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Estee Lauder (WBO:ESLA) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is €79.44, compared to a current price of €74.00 — trading 6.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.75. The Estee Lauder's overall GF Score™ is 69/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The Estee Lauder (WBO:ESLA), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.75 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is The Estee Lauder (WBO:ESLA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Estee Lauder stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €74.00 is trading 6.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of €79.44. GuruFocus considers The Estee Lauder to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for WBO:ESLA:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.75
  • GF Value™: €79.44 vs. price of €74.00 (6.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 69/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the WBO:ESLA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


The Estee Lauder Business Description

Address 767 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY, USA, 10153
Estée Lauder is a leader in the global prestige beauty market, participating across skin care (49% of fiscal 2025 sales), makeup (29%), fragrance (17%), and hair care and others (5%). Top-selling brands include Estée Lauder, Clinique, M.A.C, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, Bobbi Brown, and Origins. The firm operates in more than 150 countries, generating 31% of revenue from the Americas, 37% from Europe, the Middle East and Africa (including travel retail), and 32% from Asia-Pacific. Estée Lauder sells its products through department stores, travel retail, specialty multibrand beauty stores, brand-dedicated freestanding stores, e-commerce, salons/spas, and perfumeries.
69GF Score

Get the complete analysis for WBO:ESLA

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€74.00
Price
€79.44
GF Value