Keurig Dr Pepper (WBO:KDP) Beneish M-Score: -2.17 (As of Aug. 10, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

WBO:KDP Keurig Dr Pepper Inc WBO:KDP
74 GF Score
Price €25.24
GF Value €41.27
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Keurig Dr Pepper Beneish M-Score?

Keurig Dr Pepper WBO:KDP -2.92% 74 Beneish M-Score is -2.17 as of Aug. 10, 2026. GuruFocus rates WBO:KDP with a GF Score™ of 74/100 and a GF Value™ of €41.27 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 111 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic companies, Keurig Dr Pepper ranks worse than 78.38% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.17 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Keurig Dr Pepper's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WBO:KDP' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.63   Med: -2.44   Max: -1.44
Current: -2.17

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Keurig Dr Pepper was -1.44. The lowest was -2.63. And the median was -2.44.


Keurig Dr Pepper Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Keurig Dr Pepper's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Keurig Dr Pepper Beneish M-Score Chart

Keurig Dr Pepper Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.46 -2.30 -2.50 -2.53 -2.34

Keurig Dr Pepper Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.34 -2.40 -2.34 -2.59 -2.17

WBO:KDP vs COCSF, COKE, PRMB: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic subindustry, Keurig Dr Pepper's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Keurig Dr Pepper Beneish M-Score vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Keurig Dr Pepper's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Keurig Dr Pepper's Beneish M-Score falls into.


WBO:KDP
74GF Score
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc WBO:KDP
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Keurig Dr Pepper Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Keurig Dr Pepper for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.164+0.528 * 1.1135+0.404 * 0.9705+0.892 * 1.204+0.115 * 1.2277
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0085+4.679 * -0.008839-0.327 * 1.1359
=-2.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun26) TTM:Last Year (Jun25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €2,103 Mil.
Revenue was 6344.212 + 3439.24 + 3842.146 + 3668.712 = €17,294 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2661.288 + 1814.77 + 2065.826 + 1993.68 = €8,536 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €8,212 Mil.
Total Assets was €76,053 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €5,488 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €835 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €5,633 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €17,133 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €18,737 Mil.
Net Income was 123.256 + 233.55 + 301.462 + 564.024 = €1,222 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 11.284 + -102.07 + -225.456 + 38.34 = €-278 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 776.86 + 243.065 + 608.048 + 544.428 = €2,172 Mil.
Total Receivables was €1,501 Mil.
Revenue was 3609.321 + 3362.375 + 3886.85 + 3505.791 = €14,364 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1955.085 + 1836.125 + 2174.535 + 1928.14 = €7,894 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €3,993 Mil.
Total Assets was €47,137 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €3,325 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €644 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €4,639 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €6,261 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €13,312 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2103.164 / 17294.31) / (1500.777 / 14364.337)
=0.12161 / 0.104479
=1.164

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(7893.885 / 14364.337) / (8535.564 / 17294.31)
=0.549547 / 0.493548
=1.1135

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (8212.148 + 5488.364) / 76053.292) / (1 - (3993.402 + 3324.945) / 47137.056)
=0.819856 / 0.844743
=0.9705

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=17294.31 / 14364.337
=1.204

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(643.61 / (643.61 + 3324.945)) / (835.323 / (835.323 + 5488.364))
=0.162177 / 0.132094
=1.2277

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(5632.5 / 17294.31) / (4638.632 / 14364.337)
=0.325685 / 0.322927
=1.0085

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((18736.648 + 17133.452) / 76053.292) / ((13311.918 + 6260.607) / 47137.056)
=0.471644 / 0.415226
=1.1359

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1222.292 - -277.902 - 2172.401) / 76053.292
=-0.008839

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Keurig Dr Pepper has a M-score of -2.16 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.17 mean?
Keurig Dr Pepper (WBO:KDP) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.17 as of Aug. 10, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Keurig Dr Pepper and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Keurig Dr Pepper ranks #87 out of 111 companies in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 78.4%.
Is Keurig Dr Pepper's Beneish M-Score too high?
Keurig Dr Pepper's current Beneish M-Score is -2.17. Based on the distribution chart, Keurig Dr Pepper ranks #87 out of 111 companies in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Keurig Dr Pepper has a GF Score™ of 74/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Keurig Dr Pepper's Beneish M-Score compare to COCSF and COKE?
According to the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry distribution chart, Keurig Dr Pepper ranks #87 out of 111 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Keurig Dr Pepper in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Beverages - Non-Alcoholic company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Keurig Dr Pepper and its competitors. Keurig Dr Pepper's current Beneish M-Score is -2.17. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Keurig Dr Pepper stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Keurig Dr Pepper (WBO:KDP) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is €41.27, compared to a current price of €25.24 — trading 38.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.17. Keurig Dr Pepper's overall GF Score™ is 74/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Keurig Dr Pepper (WBO:KDP), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.17 as of Aug. 10, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Keurig Dr Pepper (WBO:KDP) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Keurig Dr Pepper stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €25.24 is trading 38.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of €41.27. GuruFocus considers Keurig Dr Pepper to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for WBO:KDP:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.17
  • GF Value™: €41.27 vs. price of €25.24 (38.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 74/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the WBO:KDP stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Keurig Dr Pepper Business Description

Address 6425 Hall of Fame Lane, Frisco, TX, USA, 75034
Keurig Dr Pepper was established in 2018 following a merger between Keurig Green Mountain Coffee and Dr Pepper Snapple. The company manufactures and distributes coffee systems (including coffee brewers and single-serve coffee pods) under the Keurig and Green Mountain brands, as well as ready-to-drink beverages including flavored (non-cola) sparkling soft drinks under well-known brands such as Dr Pepper, Snapple, and Canada Dry. On Aug. 25, 2025, the firm announced a definitive agreement to acquire coffeemaker JDE Peet's for $18 billion in cash, with the deal now scheduled to close in April 2026. Following the merger, it plans to split into two US-listed entities to focus on refreshment beverages in North America and global coffee separately.
74GF Score

Get the complete analysis for WBO:KDP

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€25.24
Price
€41.27
GF Value