WMG (Warner Music Group) Beneish M-Score: -2.30 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


WMG Warner Music Group Corp WMG
79 GF Score
Price $26.93
GF Value $35.06
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Warner Music Group Beneish M-Score?

Warner Music Group WMG +0.04% 79 Beneish M-Score is -2.30 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates WMG with a GF Score™ of 79/100 and a GF Value™ of $35.06 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 989 Media - Diversified companies, Warner Music Group ranks worse than 67.44% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.3 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Warner Music Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WMG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.19   Med: -2.53   Max: -2.04
Current: -2.3

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Warner Music Group was -2.04. The lowest was -3.19. And the median was -2.53.


Warner Music Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Warner Music Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Warner Music Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Warner Music Group Annual Data
Trend Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24 Sep25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.54 -2.53 -2.45 -2.42 -2.41

Warner Music Group Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.62 -2.48 -2.41 -2.36 -2.30

WMG vs TKO, NWSA, ROKU: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Entertainment subindustry, Warner Music Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Warner Music Group Beneish M-Score vs Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Warner Music Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Warner Music Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.


WMG
79GF Score
Warner Music Group Corp WMG
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Warner Music Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Warner Music Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0978+0.528 * 1.0221+0.404 * 0.9826+0.892 * 1.1255+0.115 * 0.7836
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8792+4.679 * -0.005183-0.327 * 0.9969
=-2.30

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,505 Mil.
Revenue was 1732 + 1840 + 1868 + 1689 = $7,129 Mil.
Gross Profit was 802 + 853 + 834 + 776 = $3,265 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,220 Mil.
Total Assets was $10,612 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $582 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $402 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,703 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4,421 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4,893 Mil.
Net Income was 183 + 176 + 109 + -16 = $452 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 25 + -36 + -119 + -206 = $-336 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 126 + 440 + 231 + 46 = $843 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,218 Mil.
Revenue was 1484 + 1666 + 1630 + 1554 = $6,334 Mil.
Gross Profit was 693 + 772 + 776 + 724 = $2,965 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,599 Mil.
Total Assets was $9,568 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $720 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $339 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,721 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,916 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4,508 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1505 / 7129) / (1218 / 6334)
=0.21111 / 0.192296
=1.0978

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2965 / 6334) / (3265 / 7129)
=0.468109 / 0.457988
=1.0221

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3220 + 582) / 10612) / (1 - (2599 + 720) / 9568)
=0.641726 / 0.653115
=0.9826

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=7129 / 6334
=1.1255

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(339 / (339 + 720)) / (402 / (402 + 582))
=0.320113 / 0.408537
=0.7836

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1703 / 7129) / (1721 / 6334)
=0.238883 / 0.271708
=0.8792

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4893 + 4421) / 10612) / ((4508 + 3916) / 9568)
=0.877686 / 0.880435
=0.9969

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(452 - -336 - 843) / 10612
=-0.005183

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warner Music Group has a M-score of -2.30 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.30 mean?
Warner Music Group (WMG) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.30 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Warner Music Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Warner Music Group ranks #667 out of 989 companies in the Media - Diversified industry, placing it in the top 67.4%.
Is Warner Music Group's Beneish M-Score too high?
Warner Music Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.30. Based on the distribution chart, Warner Music Group ranks #667 out of 989 companies in the Media - Diversified industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Warner Music Group has a GF Score™ of 79/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Warner Music Group's Beneish M-Score compare to TKO and NWSA?
According to the Media - Diversified industry distribution chart, Warner Music Group ranks #667 out of 989 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Warner Music Group in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Media - Diversified company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Media - Diversified industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Warner Music Group and its competitors. Warner Music Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.30. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Warner Music Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Warner Music Group (WMG) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $35.06, compared to a current price of $26.93 — trading 23.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.30. Warner Music Group's overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Warner Music Group (WMG), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.30 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Warner Music Group (WMG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Warner Music Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $26.93 is trading 23.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of $35.06. GuruFocus considers Warner Music Group to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for WMG:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.30
  • GF Value™: $35.06 vs. price of $26.93 (23.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the WMG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Warner Music Group Business Description

Address 1633 Broadway, New York, NY, USA, 10019
Warner Music is the third-largest of the three major record companies. Recorded music accounts for most of the firm's revenue, with the segment housing notable record labels including Atlantic Records, Warner Records, Elektra Records. Some of the most successful current artists signed to record deals with Warner include Ed Sheeran, Bruno Mars, Cardi B, and Dua Lipa. Warner's remaining revenue comes from its publishing business, where Warner Chappell represents more than 180,000 songwriters and composers, some of whom are also Warner recording artists but many of whom are not recording artists or are attached to other labels. Warner Chappell controls more than 1 million musical compositions. Access Industries controls 98% of Warner's voting rights, while holding a 72% economic interest.
79GF Score

Get the complete analysis for WMG

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$26.93
Price
$35.06
GF Value