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Warner Music Group (Warner Music Group) Altman Z2-Score : -0.61 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is Warner Music Group Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Warner Music Group has a Altman Z2-Score of -0.61, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Warner Music Group's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WMG' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.3   Med: -1.29   Max: -0.56
Current: -0.61

During the past 13 years, Warner Music Group's highest Altman Z2-Score was -0.56. The lowest was -2.30. And the median was -1.29.


Warner Music Group Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Warner Music Group's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Warner Music Group Altman Z2-Score Chart

Warner Music Group Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.46 -2.30 -1.37 -0.88 -0.77

Warner Music Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.71 -0.77 -0.73 -0.77 -0.61

Competitive Comparison of Warner Music Group's Altman Z2-Score

For the Entertainment subindustry, Warner Music Group's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Warner Music Group's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Warner Music Group's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Warner Music Group's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Warner Music Group Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Warner Music Group's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*-0.1256+3.26*-0.1465+6.72*0.0945+1.05*0.0553
=-0.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $8,991 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,616 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,745 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-1,317 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 265 + 212 + 167 + 58 = $702 Mil.
Interest Expense was -39 + -36 + -38 + -35 = $-148 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $8,375 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2616 - 3745)/8991
=-0.1256

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-1317/8991
=-0.1465

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(702 - -148)/8991
=0.0945

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Warner Music Group has a Altman Z2-Score of -0.61 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Warner Music Group  (NAS:WMG) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Warner Music Group Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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Warner Music Group (Warner Music Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1633 Broadway, New York, NY, USA, 10019
Warner Music Group is the third largest of the three major global record labels, with Vivendi's Universal Music in first and Sony Music in second. Warner's larger segment, recorded music, consists of iconic labels like Atlantic Records, Warner Records, and Parlophone Records and popular artists such as Ed Sheeran, Cardi B, Dua Lipa, and Blake Shelton. Warner Chappell, the firm's publishing arm, is the home to over 65,000 composers and songwriters with over 1 million copyrights represented. Warner is controlled by Access Industries, which owns an 84% economic interest and 99% of voting rights.
Executives
Max Lousada director, officer: CEO, Recorded Music C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Carletta Higginson officer: EVP, Chief Digital Officer C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Bryan Castellani officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Valentin Blavatnik director C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Entertainment Holdings Ii Llc 10 percent owner 40 WEST 57TH STREET, 28TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Lincoln E Benet director C/O LYONDELLBASELL INDUSTRIES N.V., DELFTSEPLEIN 27E, ROTTERDAM P7 3013AA
Timothy Matusch officer: EVP Strategy & Operations C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Robert Kyncl officer: Co-CEO C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Nancy Dubuc director C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Ai Entertainment Holdings Llc 10 percent owner C/O ACCESS INDUSTRIES, LLC, 40 WEST 57TH ST, 28TH FLR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Louis Dickler officer: Acting CFO & Corp. Contr. C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Noreena Hertz director C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Cecelia Kurzman director 237 PARK AVENUE, REVLON, 14TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Thomas H Lee director C/O THOMAS H. LEE CAPITAL LLC, 767 FIFTH AVENUE, 6TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10153
Michael Lynton director 2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS 12TH FL, LOS ANGELES CA 90067