Toplivo AD (XBUL:TOPL) Beneish M-Score: -2.77 (As of Jul. 23, 2026)

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XBUL:TOPL Toplivo AD XBUL:TOPL
47 GF Score
Price €3.90
GF Value €4.44
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is Toplivo AD Beneish M-Score?

Toplivo AD XBUL:TOPL 47 Beneish M-Score is -2.77 as of Jul. 23, 2026. GuruFocus rates XBUL:TOPL with a GF Score™ of 47/100 and a GF Value™ of €4.44 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 824 Oil & Gas companies, Toplivo AD ranks better than 57.52% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.77 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Toplivo AD's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XBUL:TOPL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -7.46   Med: -2.55   Max: 0.71
Current: -2.77

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Toplivo AD was 0.71. The lowest was -7.46. And the median was -2.55.


Toplivo AD Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Toplivo AD's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Toplivo AD Beneish M-Score Chart

Toplivo AD Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.08 -2.62 -2.03 -3.78 -2.77

Toplivo AD Semi-Annual Data
Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.16 -3.78 0.00 -2.77 0.00

XBUL:TOPL vs VLO, MPC, PSX: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Toplivo AD's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Toplivo AD Beneish M-Score vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Toplivo AD's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Toplivo AD's Beneish M-Score falls into.


XBUL:TOPL
47GF Score
Toplivo AD XBUL:TOPL
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Toplivo AD Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Toplivo AD for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0327+0.528 * 0.8035+0.404 * 1.0253+0.892 * 0.9425+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8634+4.679 * -0.059379-0.327 * 0.7435
=-2.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €4.65 Mil.
Revenue was €100.33 Mil.
Gross Profit was €11.24 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €24.05 Mil.
Total Assets was €53.03 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €15.46 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €0.00 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €0.88 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €9.78 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1.68 Mil.
Net Income was €-0.26 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0.00 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €2.89 Mil.
Total Receivables was €4.77 Mil.
Revenue was €106.45 Mil.
Gross Profit was €9.58 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €27.71 Mil.
Total Assets was €58.39 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €16.16 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €0.00 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €1.09 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €11.50 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €5.47 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4.645 / 100.331) / (4.772 / 106.45)
=0.046297 / 0.044829
=1.0327

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(9.58 / 106.45) / (11.237 / 100.331)
=0.089995 / 0.111999
=0.8035

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (24.048 + 15.462) / 53.032) / (1 - (27.705 + 16.16) / 58.385)
=0.254978 / 0.248694
=1.0253

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=100.331 / 106.45
=0.9425

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 16.16)) / (0 / (0 + 15.462))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0.883 / 100.331) / (1.085 / 106.45)
=0.008801 / 0.010193
=0.8634

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1.68 + 9.782) / 53.032) / ((5.474 + 11.498) / 58.385)
=0.216134 / 0.290691
=0.7435

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-0.258 - 0 - 2.891) / 53.032
=-0.059379

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Toplivo AD has a M-score of -2.77 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.77 mean?
Toplivo AD (XBUL:TOPL) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.77 as of Jul. 23, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Toplivo AD and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Toplivo AD ranks #350 out of 824 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 42.5%.
Is Toplivo AD's Beneish M-Score too high?
Toplivo AD's current Beneish M-Score is -2.77. Based on the distribution chart, Toplivo AD ranks #350 out of 824 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Toplivo AD has a GF Score™ of 47/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Toplivo AD's Beneish M-Score compare to VLO and MPC?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Toplivo AD ranks #350 out of 824 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Toplivo AD in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Toplivo AD and its competitors. Toplivo AD's current Beneish M-Score is -2.77. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Toplivo AD stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toplivo AD (XBUL:TOPL) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €4.44, compared to a current price of €3.90 — trading 12.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.77. Toplivo AD's overall GF Score™ is 47/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Toplivo AD (XBUL:TOPL), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.77 as of Jul. 23, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Toplivo AD (XBUL:TOPL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toplivo AD stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €3.90 is trading 12.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of €4.44. GuruFocus considers Toplivo AD to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for XBUL:TOPL:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.77
  • GF Value™: €4.44 vs. price of €3.90 (12.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 47/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the XBUL:TOPL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Toplivo AD Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address Pavlina Unufrieva Street, Sofia, BGR, 15102
Toplivo AD is engaged in the provision of petroleum products like propane-butane, liquid petrol and liquid petroleum gas. It also offers construction and heating materials like firewood, wooden materials, decorating tiles, briquettes, wood, and metals.
47GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XBUL:TOPL

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€3.90
Price
€4.44
GF Value