MTN Ghana (XGHA:MTNGH) Beneish M-Score: -2.04 (As of Jul. 06, 2026)


XGHA:MTNGH MTN Ghana XGHA:MTNGH
100 GF Score
Price GHS6.40
GF Value GHS4.21
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is MTN Ghana Beneish M-Score?

MTN Ghana XGHA:MTNGH -0.31% 100 Beneish M-Score is -2.04 as of Jul. 06, 2026. GuruFocus rates XGHA:MTNGH with a GF Score™ of 100/100 and a GF Value™ of GHS4.21 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 351 Telecommunication Services companies, MTN Ghana ranks worse than 87.75% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.04 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for MTN Ghana's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XGHA:MTNGH' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.9   Med: -2.39   Max: 0.3
Current: -2.04

During the past 9 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of MTN Ghana was 0.30. The lowest was -2.90. And the median was -2.39.


MTN Ghana Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for MTN Ghana's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

MTN Ghana Beneish M-Score Chart

MTN Ghana Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only -2.46 -2.22 -2.52 -2.07 -2.76

MTN Ghana Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.48 -2.71 -2.41 -2.76 -2.04

XGHA:MTNGH vs TMUS, VZ, T: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Telecom Services subindustry, MTN Ghana's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MTN Ghana Beneish M-Score vs Telecommunication Services Industry

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, MTN Ghana's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MTN Ghana's Beneish M-Score falls into.


XGHA:MTNGH
100GF Score
MTN Ghana XGHA:MTNGH
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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MTN Ghana Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of MTN Ghana for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.5317+0.528 * 0.9514+0.404 * 2.1084+0.892 * 1.3535+0.115 * 0.9798
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0299+4.679 * -0.006842-0.327 * 0.4664
=-2.04

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was GHS896 Mil.
Revenue was 7273.963 + 7027.438 + 6059.898 + 5980.71 = GHS26,342 Mil.
Gross Profit was 6602.152 + 6254.6 + 5374.497 + 5205.953 = GHS23,437 Mil.
Total Current Assets was GHS8,691 Mil.
Total Assets was GHS24,642 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was GHS13,389 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was GHS2,926 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was GHS4,259 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was GHS5,128 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was GHS2,959 Mil.
Net Income was 2479.402 + 2346.967 + 1860.954 + 1942.643 = GHS8,630 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = GHS0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 3031.018 + 2930.998 + 2622.623 + 213.936 = GHS8,799 Mil.
Total Receivables was GHS1,244 Mil.
Revenue was 5362.262 + 5173.893 + 4661.428 + 4264.606 = GHS19,462 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4655.003 + 4182.132 + 4020.297 + 3617.435 = GHS16,475 Mil.
Total Current Assets was GHS33,251 Mil.
Total Assets was GHS45,740 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was GHS10,232 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was GHS2,181 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was GHS3,055 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was GHS30,566 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was GHS1,617 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(895.609 / 26342.009) / (1244.481 / 19462.189)
=0.033999 / 0.063944
=0.5317

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(16474.867 / 19462.189) / (23437.202 / 26342.009)
=0.846506 / 0.889727
=0.9514

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (8691.388 + 13388.59) / 24642.353) / (1 - (33251.423 + 10232.265) / 45739.505)
=0.103983 / 0.049319
=2.1084

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=26342.009 / 19462.189
=1.3535

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2181.233 / (2181.233 + 10232.265)) / (2925.619 / (2925.619 + 13388.59))
=0.175715 / 0.17933
=0.9798

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(4258.887 / 26342.009) / (3055.378 / 19462.189)
=0.161677 / 0.15699
=1.0299

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2958.82 + 5128.438) / 24642.353) / ((1617.455 + 30565.928) / 45739.505)
=0.328185 / 0.703623
=0.4664

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(8629.966 - 0 - 8798.575) / 24642.353
=-0.006842

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

MTN Ghana has a M-score of -2.04 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.04 mean?
MTN Ghana (XGHA:MTNGH) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.04 as of Jul. 06, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on MTN Ghana and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, MTN Ghana ranks #308 out of 351 companies in the Telecommunication Services industry, placing it in the top 87.7%.
Is MTN Ghana's Beneish M-Score too high?
MTN Ghana's current Beneish M-Score is -2.04. Based on the distribution chart, MTN Ghana ranks #308 out of 351 companies in the Telecommunication Services industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, MTN Ghana has a GF Score™ of 100/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does MTN Ghana's Beneish M-Score compare to TMUS and VZ?
According to the Telecommunication Services industry distribution chart, MTN Ghana ranks #308 out of 351 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places MTN Ghana in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Telecommunication Services company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Telecommunication Services industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on MTN Ghana and its competitors. MTN Ghana's current Beneish M-Score is -2.04. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is MTN Ghana stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, MTN Ghana (XGHA:MTNGH) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is GHS4.21, compared to a current price of GHS6.40 — trading 52% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.04. MTN Ghana's overall GF Score™ is 100/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For MTN Ghana (XGHA:MTNGH), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.04 as of Jul. 06, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is MTN Ghana (XGHA:MTNGH) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, MTN Ghana stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of GHS6.40 is trading 52% above its estimated GF Value™ of GHS4.21. GuruFocus considers MTN Ghana to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for XGHA:MTNGH:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.04
  • GF Value™: GHS4.21 vs. price of GHS6.40 (52% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 100/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XGHA:MTNGH stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


MTN Ghana Business Description

Address MTN House, Independence Avenue, West Ridge, Plot OER 6, Accra, GHA
MTN Ghana is a Ghana-based company that provides mobile financial services in the financial services industry. The principal activities are the provision of telecommunication services including voice, data, and enterprise solutions, mobile financial services, the development of strategic partnerships to provide developed services, and the provision of consultancy and support services in the mobile banking, payment services and fintech space. The company has four reportable segments, namely Network services, Interconnect and roaming, Digital and Fintech, and devices and accessories, out of which it derives maximum revenue from Network services.
100GF Score

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Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

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