Serco GroupSCGPY 81 Peter Lynch Fair Value is $2.13 as of Jul. 07, 2026, which is 326% above its 10-year median of 0.50. GuruFocus rates SCGPY with a GF Score™ of 81/100 and a GF Value™ of $2.40 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 366 Business Services companies, Serco Group ranks worse than 68.03% on this metric.
Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.
Here, as of today, Serco Group's PEG is 1. Serco Group's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 9.39.
Serco Group's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2025 was $0.23. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $2.13.
As of today (2026-07-07), Serco Group's share price is $2.8268. Serco Group's Peter Lynch fair value is $2.13. Therefore, Serco Group's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 1.33.
The historical rank and industry rank for Serco Group's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:
SCGPY'
s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.35 Med: 0.5 Max: 1.69
Current: 1.4
During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Serco Group was 1.69. The lowest was 0.35. And the median was 0.50.
SCGPY's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked worse than 68.03% of 366
companies
in the Business Services industry
Industry Median: 0.99
vs SCGPY: 1.40
Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.
Serco Group (OTCPK:SCGPY) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation
Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.
Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.
Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 9.39 instead of 15 in this case.
Serco Group's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as
Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value
=
Share Price
/
Peter Lynch Fair Value
=
2.8268
/
2.13
=
1.33
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Serco Group Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms
Serco Group Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Serco Group's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
SCGPY vs CTAS, CPRT, ULS: Peter Lynch Fair Value Comparison
For the Specialty Business Services subindustry, Serco Group's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Serco Group Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value vs Business Services Industry
For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Serco Group's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Serco Group's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.
For company reported semi-annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data. Serco Group's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2025 was $0.23.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.
If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.
If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.
Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.
Serco Group (SCGPY) has a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $2.13 as of Jul. 07, 2026. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Serco Group and its competitors. This is 326% above median its historical median of 0.50. Over the past decade, Serco Group's Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.35 to 1.69. According to the industry distribution chart, Serco Group ranks #249 out of 366 companies in the Business Services industry, placing it in the top 68%.
Is Serco Group's Peter Lynch Fair Value too high?
Serco Group's current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $2.13 is 326% above median its 10-year median of 0.50. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.35 to a high of 1.69. The Business Services industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 0.99. Serco Group's value of $2.13 is 115.2% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Serco Group ranks #249 out of 366 companies in the Business Services industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Serco Group has a GF Score™ of 81/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Serco Group's Peter Lynch Fair Value compare to CTAS and CPRT?
According to the Business Services industry distribution chart, Serco Group ranks #249 out of 366 companies for Peter Lynch Fair Value. This places Serco Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 0.99. Serco Group's value of $2.13 is 115.2% above this benchmark. Historically, Serco Group's own Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.35 to 1.69 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.50 vs. the industry median of 0.99, Serco Group has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Peter Lynch Fair Value for a Business Services company?
The median Peter Lynch Fair Value among Business Services companies is 0.99, based on 366 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Peter Lynch Fair Value significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Peter Lynch Fair Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Serco Group's current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $2.13 is 115.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Peter Lynch Fair Value mean?
A high Peter Lynch Fair Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Serco Group and its competitors. For the Business Services industry, the median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 0.99 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Serco Group's current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $2.13, which is 326% above median its own 10-year median of 0.50. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Serco Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Serco Group (SCGPY) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $2.40, compared to a current price of $2.83 — trading 17.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $2.13, which is 326% above median its 10-year median of 0.50 and 115.2% above the Business Services industry median of 0.99. Serco Group's overall GF Score™ is 81/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Peter Lynch Fair Value calculated?
Peter Lynch Fair Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Serco Group (SCGPY), the current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $2.13 as of Jul. 07, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Serco Group (SCGPY) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Serco Group stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $2.83 is trading 17.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of $2.40.
GuruFocus considers Serco Group to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for SCGPY:
Peter Lynch Fair Value: $2.13 (326% above median its 10-year median of 0.50)
GF Value™: $2.40 vs. price of $2.83 (17.8% above fair value)
Industry Position: 115.2% above the Business Services median (#249 of 366)
No single metric tells the full story. See the SCGPY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Serco Group PLC helps governments and public-sector bodies deliver public services. The company generates revenue from four divisions; the UK & Europe division provides hospital management, welfare, business support operations, and defense services in the U.K. and Europe. The North America division provides professional, defense, technology, and management services to the U.S. and Canadian governments. The Asia-Pacific segment provides frontline services, defense, and citizen services in Australia, New Zealand, and Hong Kong. The Middle East division provides transport, defense, and health services in the Middle East. The company generates its key revenue from the U.K. & Europe divisions.
81GF Score
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