Serco GroupSCGPY -21.43%81 Altman Z-Score is 2.94 as of Jun. 25, 2026, which is 11% above its 10-year median of 2.66. GuruFocus rates SCGPY with a GF Score™ of 81/100 and a GF Value™ of $3.02. The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,060 Business Services companies, Serco Group ranks better than 51.04% on this metric.
The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Good Sign:
Altman Z-score of 3.01 is strong.
Serco Group has a Altman Z-Score of 2.94, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Serco Group is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Serco Group's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
SCGPY'
s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.53 Med: 2.66 Max: 3.19
Current: 3.01
During the past 13 years, Serco Group's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.19. The lowest was 2.53. And the median was 2.66.
Serco Group (OTCPK:SCGPY) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Serco Group Altman Z-Score Related Terms
Serco Group Altman Z-Score Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Serco Group's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
SCGPY vs CTAS, CPRT, GPN: Altman Z-Score Comparison
For the Specialty Business Services subindustry, Serco Group's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Serco Group Altman Z-Score vs Business Services Industry
For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Serco Group's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Serco Group's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Serco Group's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
-0.0234
+
1.4
*
0.2064
+
3.3
*
0.0889
+
0.6
*
1.0764
+
1.0
*
1.7442
=
2.94
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Serco Group (SCGPY) has a Altman Z-Score of 2.94 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Serco Group and its competitors. This is 11% above median its historical median of 2.66. Over the past decade, Serco Group's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.53 to 3.19. According to the industry distribution chart, Serco Group ranks #519 out of 1060 companies in the Business Services industry, placing it in the top 49%.
Is Serco Group's Altman Z-Score too high?
Serco Group's current Altman Z-Score of 2.94 is 11% above median its 10-year median of 2.66. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.53 to a high of 3.19. The Business Services industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.98. Serco Group's value of 2.94 is 1.2% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Serco Group ranks #519 out of 1060 companies in the Business Services industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Serco Group has a GF Score™ of 81/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Serco Group's Altman Z-Score compare to CTAS and CPRT?
According to the Business Services industry distribution chart, Serco Group ranks #519 out of 1060 companies for Altman Z-Score. This puts Serco Group in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.98. Serco Group's value of 2.94 is 1.2% below this benchmark. Historically, Serco Group's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.53 to 3.19 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.66 vs. the industry median of 2.98, Serco Group has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Business Services company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Business Services companies is 2.98, based on 1,060 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Serco Group's current Altman Z-Score of 2.94 is 1.2% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Serco Group and its competitors. For the Business Services industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.98 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Serco Group's current Altman Z-Score is 2.94, which is 11% above median its own 10-year median of 2.66. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Serco Group stock overvalued right now?
Serco Group (SCGPY) has a current Altman Z-Score of 2.94. The stock's GF Value™ is $3.02, compared to a current price of $2.83 — trading 6.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 2.94, which is 11% above median its 10-year median of 2.66 and 1.2% below the Business Services industry median of 2.98. Serco Group's overall GF Score™ is 81/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Serco Group (SCGPY), the current Altman Z-Score is 2.94 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Serco Group (SCGPY) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Serco Group stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $2.83 is trading 6.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of $3.02.
Key valuation signals for SCGPY:
Altman Z-Score: 2.94 (11% above median its 10-year median of 2.66)
GF Value™: $3.02 vs. price of $2.83 (6.4% below fair value)
Industry Position: 1.2% below the Business Services median (#519 of 1060)
No single metric tells the full story. See the SCGPY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Serco Group PLC helps governments and public-sector bodies deliver public services. The company generates revenue from four divisions; the UK & Europe division provides hospital management, welfare, business support operations, and defense services in the U.K. and Europe. The North America division provides professional, defense, technology, and management services to the U.S. and Canadian governments. The Asia-Pacific segment provides frontline services, defense, and citizen services in Australia, New Zealand, and Hong Kong. The Middle East division provides transport, defense, and health services in the Middle East. The company generates its key revenue from the U.K. & Europe divisions.
81GF Score
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