GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Construction » Mobile Infrastructure Corp (AMEX:BEEP) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Mobile Infrastructure (Mobile Infrastructure) Predictability Rank


View and export this data going back to 2023. Start your Free Trial

What is Mobile Infrastructure Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Mobile Infrastructure Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Mobile Infrastructure Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Mobile Infrastructure's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Mobile Infrastructure (Mobile Infrastructure) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Construction » Mobile Infrastructure Corp (AMEX:BEEP) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
SHSE:603917 SZSE:300984 SZSE:002976 SZSE:300817 SZSE:301138 SZSE:301007 SZSE:301020 SHSE:688379 SZSE:301398 SZSE:300946 ASX:TCL XMAD:FER SZSE:001965 DFM:SALIK SHSE:600377 XPAR:RE ASX:ALX BSP:CCRO3 SHSE:600350 VRRM
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
30 W. 4th Street, Cincinnati, OH, USA, 45202
Website
https://www.mobileit.com
Mobile Infrastructure Corp focuses on acquiring, owning, and leasing parking facilities and related infrastructure, including parking lots, parking garages and other parking structures throughout the United States. The company targets both parking garage and surface lot properties primarily in the top 50 U.S. Metropolitan Statistical Areas, with proximity to key demand drivers, such as airports, transportation hubs, educational facilities, government buildings and courthouses, sports and entertainment venues, hospital and health centers, hotels, office complexes and residences.
Executives
Jeffrey Osher director 505 MONTGOMERY STREET, SUITE 1250, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Stephanie Hogue director, 10 percent owner, officer: President & CFO 250 E. 5TH STREET, STE 2110, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Amanda Parness other: Former Director C/O FIFTH WALL ACQUISITION CORP. II, 6060 CENTER DRIVE, 10TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90045
Brad Greiwe director 1 LITTLE WEST 12TH STREET, 4TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10014
Damon D Jones director 250 E 5TH STREET, STE 2110, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Manuel Iii Chavez director, officer: CEO 250 E 5TH STREET, STE 2110, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Color Up, Llc other: See Remarks 250 E 5TH STREET, STE 2110, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Hscp Strategic Iii L.p. other: See Remarks 505 MONTGOMERY STREET, SUITE 1250, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Poonam Sharma Mathis other: Former Director C/O FIFTH WALL ACQUISITION CORP. II, 6060 CENTER DRIVE, 10TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90045
Adeyemi Ajao other: Former Director C/O FIFTH WALL ACQUISITION CORP. II, 6060 CENTER DRIVE, 10TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90045
Lorrence T Kellar director C/O LOEHMANNS INC, 2500 HALSEY STREET, BRONX NY 10461
Fifth Wall Acquisition Sponsor Iii, Llc 10 percent owner 6060 CENTER DRIVE, FLOOR 10, LOS ANGELES CA 90045
Andriy Mykhaylovskyy 10 percent owner 6060 CENTER DRIVE 10TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90045
Brendan Wallace 10 percent owner 6060 CENTER DRIVE 10TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90045
Alana Beard other: Former Director 6060 CENTER DRIVE 10TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90045

Mobile Infrastructure (Mobile Infrastructure) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Mobile Infrastructure Corp (BEEP) Reports Q4 and Full Year 2023 Financial Results

By GuruFocus Research • 03-16-2024