EQUATOR Beverage Co (EQUATOR Beverage Co) Predictability Rank

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What is EQUATOR Beverage Co Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

EQUATOR Beverage Co Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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EQUATOR Beverage Co (EQUATOR Beverage Co) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Beverages - Non-Alcoholic » EQUATOR Beverage Co (OTCPK:MOJO) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

185 Hudson Street, Floor 25, Jersey City, NJ, USA, 07302

Website

https://www.equatorbeverage.com

EQUATOR Beverage Co is engaged in developing, producing, distributing, and marketing new beverage products. Its beverages have been certified Non-GMO Project Verified and USDA Organic, and It offers both nonalcoholic and ready-to-drink alcoholic options. In addition, It has a line of sparkling energy beverages targeted towards female consumers. Its beverages can be found in North America, the Caribbean, and Bermuda. It is committed to sustainability and use 100 percent recyclable, eco-friendly packaging that has a minimal impact on the environment. Furthermore, its products are plant-based, renewable, and eco-friendly. Coconut water is nature's hydration drink for the skin and body. In each 11 oz serving there are five essential electrolytes totaling 1043 mg more than other sports drinks.

Executives

Peter Spinner	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Operating Officer	101 HUDSON STREET, 21ST FLOOR, JERSEY CITY NJ 07302
Robert Kaufman	director	C/O MOJO ORGANICS, INC., 101 HUDSON STREET, 21ST FLOOR, JERSEY CITY NJ 07302
Jeffrey Devlin	director	875 NORTH MICHIGAN AVENUE, 2929, CHICAGO IL 60611
Glenn Simpson	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	101 HUDSON STREET, 21ST FLOOR, JERSEY CITY NJ 07302
Richard X. Seet	director	101 HUDSON STREET, 21ST FLOOR, JERSEY CITY NJ 07302