PANHF (Ping An Healthcare And Technology Co) Predictability Rank


PANHF Ping An Healthcare And Technology Co Ltd PANHF
73 GF Score
Price $0.99
GF Value $1.09
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Ping An Healthcare And Technology Co Predictability Rank?

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Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Ping An Healthcare And Technology Co Predictability Rank Related Terms

PANHF
73GF Score
Ping An Healthcare And Technology Co Ltd PANHF
Predictability Rank is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Ping An Healthcare And Technology Co Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Is Ping An Healthcare And Technology Co (PANHF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ping An Healthcare And Technology Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $0.99 is trading 9% below its estimated GF Value™ of $1.09. GuruFocus considers Ping An Healthcare And Technology Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for PANHF:

  • Predictability Rank:
  • GF Value™: $1.09 vs. price of $0.99 (9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the PANHF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Ping An Healthcare And Technology Co Business Description

Other Exchanges 01833:Hong Kong1XZ:Germany
Address No. 298, Guo Xia Road, 5-8th Floor, Building B, INNO KIC, Yangpu District, Shanghai, CHN
Ping An Healthcare and Technology is the parent of Ping An Good Doctor, or PAGD, an online platform offering healthcare services in the form of an HMO model that provides commercial healthcare services and offers healthcare checkups, healthcare management, and corporate reimbursement for a fee. The company leverages the network of health providers from its parent, Ping An Group, where it enters into contracts with physicians, hospitals, and specialists to offer their services to HMO participants. Other than commercial healthcare premium services, PAGD offers healthcare plans such as private insurance to individuals. The platform has over 3,500 corporate clients and 24 million paying users. PAGD is 38.43% owned by its parent company.
73GF Score

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Predictability Rank is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$0.99
Price
$1.09
GF Value