GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Interactive Media » Super League Enterprise Inc (NAS:SLE) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

SLE (Super League Enterprise) Predictability Rank


View and export this data going back to 2019. Start your Free Trial

What is Super League Enterprise Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Super League Enterprise Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Super League Enterprise Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Super League Enterprise's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Super League Enterprise Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2856 Colorado Avenue, Santa Monica, CA, USA, 90404
Super League Enterprise Inc is the rocket ship to the metaverse. It is a creator and publisher of content experiences and media solutions across the globe's immersive platforms. Its solutions provide incomparable access to massive audiences that gather in immersive digital spaces to socialize, play, explore, collaborate, shop, learn, and create. The company offers a complete range of development, distribution, monetization, and optimization capabilities designed to engage users through dynamic, energized programs. It generates revenue from advertising, including immersive game world and experience publishing and in-game media products, direct-to-consumer offers, including in-game items, e-commerce, game passes and ticketing and digital collectibles, and content and technology.
Executives
Jeff Patrick Gehl director 3366 VIA LIDO, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92663
Ann Hand director, officer: CEO and President 2906 COLORADO AVE., SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Tpg Gp A, Llc 10 percent owner 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102
David Bonderman 10 percent owner 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102
James G Coulter 10 percent owner 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Jon Winkelried 10 percent owner C/O GOLDMAN, SACHS & CO., 85 BROAD STREET, NEW YORK NY 10004
Michael Wann director, officer: CHIEF STRATEGY OFFICER C/O SUPER LEAGUE GAMING, INC., 2912 COLORADO AVENUE SUITE 203, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Michael R Keller director 2906 COLORADO AVE, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Mark Jung director C/O VITACOST.COM, INC., 5400 BROKEN SOUND BLVD NW, SUITE 500, BOCA RATON FL 33487
Matthew Evan Edelman officer: Chief Commercial Officer 621 20TH ST., SANTA MONICA CA 90402
Clayton J Haynes officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O ACACIA RESEARCH CORPORATION, 500 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, 7TH FLOOR, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Samir Ahmed officer: CHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICER C/O SUPER LEAGUE GAMING, INC., 2906 COLORADO AVE., SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Stewart Robert B Jr director 520 NEWPORT CENTER DR., 12TH FLOOR, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
David J. Steigelfest director, officer: Chief Product and Tech Officer 2906 COLORADO AVE, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Kristin Patrick director 3329 CAY DRIVE, SHERMAN OAKS CA 91423