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Sacks Parente Golf (Sacks Parente Golf) Predictability Rank


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What is Sacks Parente Golf Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Sacks Parente Golf Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Sacks Parente Golf Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Sacks Parente Golf (Sacks Parente Golf) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Travel & Leisure » Sacks Parente Golf Inc (NAS:SPGC) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
DOGZ KENS SRM BWMG DSHK BTDG CNXA ALTD PRKA FGH TSE:4661 HKSE:02020 TSE:7832 TSE:7309 HKSE:02331 MAT HAS PLNT TSE:7951 LSE:GAW
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
551 Calle San Pablo, Camarillo, CA, USA, 93012
Website
https://www.sacksparente.com
Sacks Parente Golf Inc is a technology-forward golf company, with a growing portfolio of golf products, including putting instruments, golf shafts, golf grips, and other golf-related products. It designs, manufactures, and sells technology-forward, golf equipment, which is comprised of putting instruments, golf shafts, golf grips, and related product groups. It designs its golf products to fit golfers of all skill levels, amateur and professional.
Executives
Brett Widney Hoge director 121 GRASSLANDS CT, ADVANCE NC 27006
Steve Handy officer: Chief Financial Officer 8228 SUNSET BLVD., LOS ANGELES CA 90046
Timothy Triplett director, officer: Chief Executive Officer
Michael Robert Ferris officer: See remarks 2 CAPTAIN ROAD, WILBRAHAM MA 01095
Akinobu Yorihiro director, officer: Chief Technology Officer 155 GILES ROAD, LAKE SHERWOOD CA 91361
Gregor Alasdair Campbell director 5460 LIVERPOOL CT, OAK PARK CA 91377
Dorothy Lynn Pepper director P.O.BOX 623 ! WEBSTER ST, SARATOGA SPRINGS NY 12866
Angelo Gregory Papadourakis officer: EVP Sales & Distribution 8468 CHICORY COURT, DARIEN IL 60561
Nippon Xport Ventures, Inc. 10 percent owner 155 GILES ROAD,, LAKE SHERWOOD CA 91361