Dell Technologies (Dell Technologies) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2018. Start your Free Trial

What is Dell Technologies Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Dell Technologies Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Dell Technologies Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Dell Technologies's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Dell Technologies (Dell Technologies) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Dell Technologies Inc (NYSE:DELL) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

DELLC:Mexico 12DA:Germany 12DA:Germany 12DA:Germany 12DA:Germany D1EL34:Brazil DELL:Austria

Address

One Dell Way, Round Rock, TX, USA, 78682

Website

https://www.delltechnologies.com

Dell Technologies is a broad information technology vendor, primarily supplying hardware to enterprises. It is focused on premium personal computers and enterprise on-premises data center hardware. It holds top-three shares in its core markets of personal computers, peripheral displays, mainstream servers, and external storage. Dell is vertically-integrated but has a robust ecosystem of component and assembly partners, and also relies heavily on channel partners to fulfill its sales.

Executives

Slta Iv (gp), L.l.c.	director	C/O SILVER LAKE, 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Slta V (gp), L.l.c.	director, 10 percent owner	C/O SILVER LAKE, 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Michael S Dell	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O DELL INC., ONE DELL WAY, ROUND ROCK TX 78682-2244
Steven M Mollenkopf	director	5775 MOREHOUSE DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Richard J Rothberg	officer: General Counsel & Secretary	ONE DELL WAY, ROUND ROCK TX 78682
Anthony Charles Whitten	officer: Co-Chief Operating Officer	C/O DELL TECHNOLOGIES INC., ONE DELL WAY, ROUND ROCK TX 78682
Yvonne Mcgill	officer: Chief Financial Officer	ONE DELL WAY, ROUND ROCK TX 78682
Allison Dew	officer: Chief Marketing Officer	C/O DELL TECHNOLOGIES INC., ONE DELL WAY, ROUND ROCK TX 78682
Brunilda Rios	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	C/O DELL TECHNOLOGIES INC., ONE DELL WAY, ROUND ROCK TX 78682
Thomas W Sweet	officer: Chief Financial Officer	ONE DELL WAY, ROUND ROCK TX 78682
William F Scannell	officer: Pres., Glob. Sales & Cust. Ops	EMC CORPORATION, 176 SOUTH STREET, HOPKINTON MA 01748
William D Green	director	C/O ACCENTURE, 161 N CLARK STREET, CHICAGO IL 60601
Ellen Jamison Kullman	director	UNITED TECHNOLOGIES CORP, 10 FARM SPRINGS ROAD, FARMINGTON CT 06032
David J Grain	director	C/O MOTIENT CORPORATION, 300 KNIGHTSBRIDGE PARKWAY, LINCOLNSHIRE IL 60069
Radakovich Lynn Vojvodich	director	C/O BOOKING HOLDINGS INC., 800 CONNECTICUT AVENUE, NORWALK CT 06854