Editas Medicine (Editas Medicine) Predictability Rank

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What is Editas Medicine Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Editas Medicine Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Editas Medicine (Editas Medicine) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Editas Medicine Inc (NAS:EDIT) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

8EM:Germany 8EM:Germany

Address

11 Hurley Street, Cambridge, MA, USA, 02141

Website

https://www.editasmedicine.com

Editas Medicine Inc is a genome editing company. It is engaged in treating patients with genetically defined diseases by correcting disease-causing genes. The company focuses on developing a proprietary genome editing platform based on clustered, regularly interspaced short palindromic repeats (CRISPR)/ CRISPR-associated protein 9 (Cas9 technology). It has developed CRISPR/Cas9 technology which uses a protein-RNA (ribonucleic acid) complex composed of the Cas9 enzyme bound to a guide RNA molecule designed to recognize a DNA (deoxyribonucleic acid) sequence that requires repair. The company is engaged in developing and commercializing genome editing technology.

Executives

Bruce Eaton	officer: EVP, Chief Business Officer	C/O EDITAS MEDICINE, INC., 1 MAIN STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Linda Burkly	officer: EVP, CHIEF SCIENTIFIC OFFICER	1 MAIN STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Baisong Mei	officer: SVP, CHIEF MEDICAL OFFICER	C/O EDITAS MEDICINE, INC., 1 MAIN STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Gilmore Neil O'neill	director, officer: CEO	215 FIRST STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Erick Lucera	officer: EVP, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER	138 THISTLE ROAD, NORTH ANDOVER MA 08145
Michelle Robertson	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O MOMENTA PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 301 BINNEY STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Elliott M. Levy	director	C/O OMEGA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 20 ACORN PARK D, CAMBRIDGE MA 02140
Mark S Shearman	officer: EVP, Chief Scientific Officer	C/O APPLIED GENETIC TECHNOLOGIES CORP, 11801 RESEARCH DRIVE, SUITE D, ALACHUA FL 32615
Lisa Anne Michaels	officer: EVP/Chief Medical Officer	C/O EDITAS MEDICINE, INC., 1 MAIN STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Bernadette Connaughton	director	C/O VISTERRA, INC., ONE KENDALL SQUARE, #B3301, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
James C Mullen	director	940 WINTER STREET, PERKINELMER, INC LEGAL DEPARTMENT, WALTHAM MA 02451
Emma Reeve	director	C/O PAREXEL INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION, 195 WEST STREET, WALTHAM MA 02451
Jessica Hopfield	director	C/O 600 TECHNOLOGY PARK DRIVE, SUITE 200, BILLERICA MA 01821
Cynthia Collins	director	65 WEST WATKINS MILL ROAD, GAITHERSBURG MD 20878
Meeta Chatterjee	director	C/O EDITAS MEDICINE, INC., 1 MAIN STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142