BankUnited (BankUnited) Predictability Rank

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What is BankUnited Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

BankUnited Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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BankUnited (BankUnited) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » BankUnited Inc (NYSE:BKU) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

14817 Oak Lane, Miami Lakes, FL, USA, 33016

Website

https://www.bankunited.com

BankUnited Inc is a bank holding company with one wholly owned subsidiary, BankUnited. The bank provides a full range of banking services through banking centers located primarily throughout Florida, as well as New York City. BankUnited is a commercially focused regional bank focusing on small and middle-market businesses, but also provides certain commercial lending and deposit products on a national platform. It has historically grown through organic growth. BankUnited was established by a group of investors who acquired the assets and most of the liabilities of its predecessor from the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. The group recapitalized BankUnited with an investment of over $900 million. most of its revenue comprises net interest income derived mostly from loans.

Executives

Germaine Smith-baugh	director	C/O BANKUNITED, INC., 14817 OAK LANE, MIAMI LAKES FL 33016
Kevin A. Malcolm	other: Officer of Subsidiary	C/O BANKUNITED, INC., 14817 OAK LANE, MIAMI LAKES FL 33016
A. Gail Prudenti	director	C/O BANKUNITED, INC., 14817 OAK LANE, MIAMI LAKES FL 33016
Jay D. Richards	officer: Officer of Subsidiary	C/O BANKUNITED, INC., 14817 OAK LANE, MIAMI LAKES FL 33016
John N. Digiacomo	director	C/O BANKUNITED, INC., 14817 OAK LANE, MIAMI LAKES FL 33016
Douglas J Pauls	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O ESSENT GROUP LTD., CLARENDON HOUSE, 2 CHURCH STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM 11
Sanjiv Sobti	director	C/O BANKUNITED, INC., 14817 OAK LANE, MIAMI LAKES FL 33016
Rishi Bansal	other: Officer of Subsidiary	C/O BANKUNITED, INC., 14817 OAK LANE, MIAMI LAKES FL 33016
Rajinder P Singh	officer: Chief Operating Officer	C/O BANKUNITED, INC., 14817 OAK LANE, MIAMI LAKES FL 33016
Leslie Lunak	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O BANKUNITED, INC., 14817 OAK LANE, MIAMI LAKES FL 33016
Michael R. Alford	officer: Officer of Subsidiary	C/O BANKUNITED, INC., 14817 OAK LANE, MIAMI LAKES FL 33016
William S. Rubenstein	director	C/O BANKUNITED, INC., 14817 OAK LANE, MIAMI LAKES FL 33016
Mark Bagnoli	officer: Officer of Subsidiary	C/O BANKUNITED, INC., 14817 OAK LANE, MIAMI LAKES FL 33016
Thomas M. Cornish	officer: Officer of Subsidiary	C/O BANKUNITED, INC., 14817 OAK LANE, MIAMI LAKES FL 33016
Jeffrey Starr	officer: Officer of Subsidiary	C/O BANKUNITED, INC., 14817 OAK LANE, MIAMI LAKES FL 33016