Metro One Telecommunications (Metro One Telecommunications) Predictability Rank

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Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Metro One Telecommunications Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Metro One Telecommunications (Metro One Telecommunications) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Metro One Telecommunications Inc (OTCPK:WOWI) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

30 North Gould Street, Suite 2990, Sheridan, WY, USA, 82801

Website

https://www.metro1telecomm.com

Metro One Telecommunications Inc is a mobile commerce platform company. Its product includes Mobile Commerce Merchant Platform; Mobile Commerce Enterprise Platform and Instore Engagement Suite.

Executives

James F. Hensel	officer: Chief Executive Officer	METRO ONE TELECOMMUNICATIONS, INC., 11200 MURRAY SCHOLLS PLACE, BEAVERTON OR 97007
Keller Richard B. Ii	director	C/O METRO ONE TELECOMMUNICATIONS, INC., 11200 SW MURRAY SCHOLLS PLACE, BEAVERTON OR 97007
Jeana Randall	officer: Controller	METRO ONE TELECOMMUNICATIONS, INC., 11200 MURRAY SCHOLLS PLACE, BEAVERTON OR 97007
Bruce Galloway	10 percent owner	C/O GALLOWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC, 720 FIFTH AVENUE 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Gary L Herman	10 percent owner	720 FIFTH AVE, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Galloway Capital Management, Llc	10 percent owner	1325 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 26TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Strategic Turnaround Equity Partners Lp Cayman	10 percent owner	PO BOX 2150 GT 4TH FLOOR, 1 CAYMAN FINANCIAL CENTER, GRAND CAYMAN E9 00000
Elchanan Maoz	director	11200 SW MURRAY SCHOLLS PLACE, BEAVERTON OR 97007
Everest Special Situations Fund Lp	10 percent owner	PLATINUM HOUSE, 21 HA'ARBA'A STREET, TEL AVIV ISREAL L3 64739
Maoz Everest Fund Management, Ltd.	10 percent owner	PLATINUM HOUSE, 21 HA'ARBA'A STREET, TEL AVIV L3 64739
Jonathan A Ater	director	11200 SW MURRAY SCHOLLS PLACE, BEAVERTON OR 97007
William K Hergenhan	officer: Interim CFO	11200 MURRAY SCHOLLS PLACE, BEAVERTON OR 97007
Lynne L Michaelson	officer: Senior Vice President - HR	11200 MURRAY SCHOLLS PLACE, BEAVERTON OR 97007
John S Miller	officer: Sr. VP Voice Technology	11200 MURRAY SCHOLLS PLACE, BEAVERTON OR 97007
Philip A Ljubicich	officer: President, M1 Data & Analytics	11200 MURRAY SCHOLLS PLACE, BEAVERTON OR 97007