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Western Midstream Partners LP Predictability Rank


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Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Competitive Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Midstream subindustry, Western Midstream Partners LP's Predictability Rank, along with its competitors' market caps and Predictability Rank data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Western Midstream Partners LP Predictability Rank Distribution

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Western Midstream Partners LP's Predictability Rank distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Western Midstream Partners LP's Predictability Rank falls into.



Western Midstream Partners LP Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Western Midstream Partners LP Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Western Midstream Partners LP's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Western Midstream Partners LP Business Description

Western Midstream Partners LP logo
Industry
Energy » Oil & Gas NAICS : 213112 SIC : 1389
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
9950 Woodloch Forest Drive, Suite 2800, The Woodlands, TX, USA, 77380
Western Midstream Partners LP is a US-based company which own, operate, acquire and develop midstream energy assets. The company through its subsidiary is engaged in the business of gathering, processing, compressing, treating and transporting natural gas, condensate, NGLs and crude oil. It owns or has investments in assets located in the Rocky Mountains (Colorado, Utah, and Wyoming), the Mid-Continent (Kansas and Oklahoma), North-central Pennsylvania and Texas.
Executives
Stewart Lisa A director EL PASO CORPORATION 1001 LOUISIANA STREET HOUSTON TX 77002
Schulte David J director 233 WEST 47TH ST. KANSAS CITY MO 64112
Owen Kenneth F. director 15631 JACINTOPORT BLVD. HOUSTON TX 77015
Oxy Oil Partners, Inc. 10 percent owner 5 GREENWAY PLAZA, SUITE 110 HOUSTON TX 77046
Occidental Permian Manager Llc 10 percent owner 5 GREENWAY PLAZA, SUITE 110 HOUSTON TX 77046
Baseball Merger Sub 2, Inc. 10 percent owner 5 GREENWAY PLAZA, SUITE 110 HOUSTON TX 77046
Wgr Asset Holding Co Llc 10 percent owner 1201 LAKE ROBBINS DRIVE THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Kerr-mcgee Worldwide Corp other: Former 10% Owner 1201 LAKE ROBBINS DRIVE THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Apc Midstream Holdings, Llc 10 percent owner 1201 LAKE ROBBINS DRIVE THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Anadarko E&p Onshore Llc other: Former 10% Owner 1201 LAKE ROBBINS DRIVE THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Western Gas Resources Inc 10 percent owner 1099 18TH STREET, SUITE 1200 DENVER CO 80202-1955
Anadarko Petroleum Corp 10 percent owner 1201 LAKE ROBBINS DR. THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Occidental Petroleum Corp /de/ 10 percent owner 5 GREENWAY PLAZA SUITE 110 HOUSTON TX 77046
Oxy Usa Inc 10 percent owner 5 GREENWAY PLAZA SUITE 110 HOUSTON TX 77046
Bourne Robert W. officer: SVP & Chief Commercial Officer 1400 16TH STREET SUITE 310 DENVER CO 80202

Western Midstream Partners LP Headlines

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