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Crown Equity Holdings Predictability Rank


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Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Competitive Comparison

For the Consulting Services subindustry, Crown Equity Holdings's Predictability Rank, along with its competitors' market caps and Predictability Rank data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Crown Equity Holdings Predictability Rank Distribution

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Crown Equity Holdings's Predictability Rank distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Crown Equity Holdings's Predictability Rank falls into.



Crown Equity Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Crown Equity Holdings Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Crown Equity Holdings's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Crown Equity Holdings Business Description

Crown Equity Holdings logo
Industry
Industrials » Business Services NAICS : 519190 SIC : 7389
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
11226 Pentland Downs Street, Las Vegas, NV, USA, 89141
Crown Equity Holdings Inc is engaged in offering services to domestic and global companies seeking to become public entities in the United States. It provides and offers advertising branding, marketing solutions and services to boost customer awareness, as well as merchant visibility. It primarily serves companies and individuals with corporate structure and operations globally. The company also provides public relations advertising and news dissemination for public and privately held companies. Geographically, activities function through the region of the United States.
Executives
Chacon Rudy director, officer: Chief Financial Officer PO BOX 2541 SAN DIEGO CA 90731
Zaman Mike director, officer: CEO/President 11226 PENTLAND DOWNS STREET LAS VEGAS NV 89141
Bosket Kenneth Cornell Sr director, officer: President/CEO 1453 FLINTROCK ROAD HENDERSON NV 89014
Saucedo-bardan Arnulfo director, officer: Chief Operating Officer 5440 SAHARA SUITE 205 LAS VEGAS NV 89146
Crown Marketing Corp. 10 percent owner 11226 PENTLAND DOWNS STREET LAS VEGAS NV 89141
Matus Brett director 4984 RIDING RIDGE SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Zaman Montse director, officer: Secretary 11226 PENTLAND DOWNS STREET LAS VEGAS NV 89141
Vega Mark Lawrence director, officer: Chief Technology Officer 4488 CASA BLANCA ST LAS VEGAS NV 89121
Holden Lowell Thomas director, officer: CFO 6330 NANCY RIDGE DR. SUITE 105 SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Onoue Steven director 5440 SAHARA SUITE 205 LAS VEGAS NV 89146
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