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RingCentral Predictability Rank


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Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Competitive Comparison

For the Software - Application subindustry, RingCentral's Predictability Rank, along with its competitors' market caps and Predictability Rank data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

RingCentral Predictability Rank Distribution

For the Software industry and Technology sector, RingCentral's Predictability Rank distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where RingCentral's Predictability Rank falls into.



RingCentral Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

RingCentral Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of RingCentral's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


RingCentral Business Description

RingCentral logo
Industry
Technology » Software NAICS : 541519 SIC : 7379
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
20 Davis Drive, Belmont, CA, USA, 94002
RingCentral is a unified-communication-as-a-service, or UCaaS, provider. RingCentral's software provides an easy-to-use, integrated communication application that allows for a single user experience across mobile and desktop applications. The software lets businesses communicate and collaborate using voice, video, text, Internet messaging, and conference calls on a single platform. Ninety percent of RingCentral's revenue comes from its RingCentral Office application, which is available in four tiers based on integration needs and the number of employees. The company was founded in 1999 and its headquarters are in Belmont, California.
Executives
Agarwal Vaibhav officer: Chief Accounting Officer 20 DAVIS DRIVE BELMONT CA 94002
Shah Praful officer: Chief Strategy Officer C/O RINGCENTRAL, INC. 1400 FASHION ISLAND BLVD, 7TH FLOOR SAN MATEO CA 94404
Marlow John H officer: SVP, CAO & General Counsel C/O RINGCENTRAL, INC 1400 FASHION ISLAND BLVD, 7TH FLOOR SAN MATEO CA 94404
Elca Fund Iii, Lp other: Controlled by Reporting Person C/O RINGCENTRAL, INC. 1400 FASHION ISLAND BLVD, 7TH FLOOR SAN MATEO CA 94404
Elca Fund Ii, Lp other: Controlled by Reporting Person C/O RINGCENTRAL, INC. 1400 FASHION ISLAND BLVD, 7TH FLOOR SAN MATEO CA 94404
Elca Fund I, Lp other: Controlled by Reporting Person C/O RINGCENTRAL, INC. 1400 FASHION ISLAND BLVD, 7TH FLOOR SAN MATEO CA 94404
Elca, Llc other: Controlled by Reporting Person C/O RINGCENTRAL, INC. 1400 FASHION ISLAND BLVD, 7TH FLOOR SAN MATEO CA 94404
Shmunis Sandra other: Wife of Reporting Person C/O RINGCENTRAL, INC. 1400 FASHION ISLAND BLVD, 7TH FLOOR SAN MATEO CA 94404
Shmunis Vladimir director, officer: CEO & Chairman C/O RINGCENTRAL, INC. 1400 FASHION ISLAND BLVD, 7TH FLOOR SAN MATEO CA 94404
Williams R Neil director C/O INTUIT INC. 2700 COAST AVENUE MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Dhruv Mitesh officer: Chief Financial Officer 34601 CASCADES CIRCLE UNION CITY CA 94587
Sullivan Godfrey director SPLUNK INC. 250 BRANNAN STREET SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Theis Robert I director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: THEIS ROBERT I a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Eswaran Anand officer: President & COO 20 DAVIS DRIVE BELMONT CA 94002
Goldman Kenneth A director C/O YAHOO! INC. 701 FIRST AVENUE SUNNYVALE CA 94089

RingCentral Headlines

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