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Western Midstream Partners LP (Western Midstream Partners LP) Predictability Rank


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What is Western Midstream Partners LP Predictability Rank?

1 (5)

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Western Midstream Partners LP Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Western Midstream Partners LP Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Western Midstream Partners LP's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Western Midstream Partners LP (Western Midstream Partners LP) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Western Midstream Partners LP (NYSE:WES) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
PAA AM ENLC DTM FRO ETRN PAGP STNG CEQP HEP TSX:ENB EPD WMB ET LNG OKE MPLX KMI TSX:TRP CQP
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
9950 Woodloch Forest Drive, Suite 2800, The Woodlands, TX, USA, 77380
Website
http://www.westernmidstream.com
Western Midstream Partners LP is a US-based company which own, operate, acquire and develop midstream energy assets. The company through its subsidiary is engaged in the business of gathering, processing, compressing, treating and transporting natural gas, condensate, NGLs and crude oil. It owns or has investments in assets located in the Rocky Mountains (Colorado, Utah, and Wyoming), the Mid-Continent (Kansas and Oklahoma), North-central Pennsylvania and Texas.
Executives
Kerr Mcgee Corp /de 10 percent owner 5 GREENWAY PLAZA, SUITE 110, HOUSTON TX 77046
Occidental Petroleum Corp /de/ 10 percent owner 5 GREENWAY PLAZA, SUITE 110, HOUSTON TX 77046
Alejandro O Nebreda officer: SVP, Business Services 9950 WOODLOCH FOREST DR, SUITE 2800, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Michael S. Forsyth officer: SVP, North Operations 9950 WOODLOCH FOREST DR, SUITE 2800, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Daniel P. Holderman officer: SVP Co-Chief Operating Officer 9950 WOODLOCH FOREST DR, SUITE 2800, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Robert W. Bourne officer: SVP & Chief Commercial Officer 1400 16TH STREET, SUITE 310, DENVER CO 80202
Kristen S. Shults officer: SVP & Chief Financial Officer 9950 WOODLOCH FOREST DR, SUITE 2800, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Frederick A. Forthuber director 9950 WOODLOCH FOREST DR, SUITE 2800, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Anadarko Ush1 Corp 10 percent owner 5 GREENWAY PLAZA, SUITE 110, HOUSTON TX 77046
Anadarko Holding Co 10 percent owner 5 GREENWAY PLAZA, SUITE 110, HOUSTON TX 77046
Christopher B. Dial officer: SVP, GC and Secretary 2103 CITYWEST BLVD., BUILDING 4, SUITE 800, HOUSTON TX 77042
Charles G. Griffie officer: SVP, Ops and Engineering 1201 LAKE ROBBINS DR, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Catherine A. Green officer: VP & Chief Accounting Officer 1201 LAKE ROBBINS DR, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Lisa A Stewart director EL PASO CORPORATION, 1001 LOUISIANA STREET, HOUSTON TX 77002
Craig W Collins officer: SVP & Chief Operating Officer 15021 KATY FREEWAY, SUITE 400, HOUSTON TX 77094