ZimVie (ZimVie) Predictability Rank

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What is ZimVie Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

ZimVie Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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ZimVie (ZimVie) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Devices & Instruments » ZimVie Inc (NAS:ZIMV) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

O23:Germany

Address

10225 Westmoor Drive, Westminster, CO, USA, 80021

Website

https://www.zimvie.com

ZimVie Inc is focused on the dental and spine markets and their respective growth drivers such as implants, surgical tools, bone graft substitutes, spinal fusion implants, non-fusion alternatives, and digital care management solutions. Business is organized into two operating segments the spine products segment and the dental products segment.

Executives

Camber Capital Management Lp	10 percent owner	101 HUNTINGTON AVENUE, SUITE 2101, BOSTON MA 02199
Sally Crawford	director	C/O HOLOGIC, INC., BEDFORD MA 01730
Vafa Jamali	director, officer: See Remarks	C/O ZIMVIE INC., 10225 WESTMOOR DRIVE, WESTMINSTER CO 80021
Richard Heppenstall	officer: See Remarks	C/O ZIMVIE INC., 10225 WESTMOOR DRIVE, WESTMINSTER CO 80021
Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc.	10 percent owner	345 EAST MAIN STREET, WARSAW IN 46580
Richard Kuntz	director	MEDTRONIC, INC., 710 MEDTRONIC PWKY MS LC 310, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55432
Vinit K Asar	director	10910 DOMAIN DRIVE, SUITE 300, AUSTIN TX 78758
Karen Matusinec	director	C/O ZIMVIE INC., 10225 WESTMOOR DRIVE, WESTMINSTER CO 80021
David P King	director	PRIVIA HEALTH GROUP, INC., 950 N. GLEBE RD., SUITE 700, ARLINGTON VA 22203
Rebecca Ann Whitney	officer: See Remarks	10225 WESTMOOR DRIVE, WESTMINSTER CO 80021
David John Harmon	officer: See Remarks	10225 WESTMOOR DRIVE, WESTMINSTER CO 80021
Indraneel Kanaglekar	officer: See Remarks	C/O ZIMVIE INC., 10225 WESTMOOR DRIVE, WESTMINSTER CO 80021
Heather Kidwell	officer: See Remarks	C/O ZIMVIE INC., 10225 WESTMOOR DRIVE, WESTMINSTER CO 80021
Sandra Schneider	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	C/O ZIMVIE INC., 10225 WESTMOOR DRIVE, WESTMINSTER CO 80021