New Hope (ASX:NHC) GF Value Rank: 3 (As of Jul. 14, 2026) — 25% Below Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

ASX:NHC New Hope Corp Ltd ASX:NHC
67 GF Score
Price A$5.33
GF Value A$4.05
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is New Hope GF Value Rank?

New Hope ASX:NHC +2.11% 67 GF Value Rank is 3 as of Jul. 14, 2026, which is 25% below its 10-year median of 4.00. GuruFocus rates ASX:NHC with a GF Score™ of 67/100 and a GF Value™ of A$4.05 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

New Hope has the GF Value Rank of 3.

GF Value Rank evaluates the exclusive GuruFocus valuation and performance of a stock, rated on a scale from 1 to 10. It is determined by the price-to-GF-Value (P/GF Value) ratio, a proprietary metric calculated based on historical multiples along with an adjustment factor based on a company's past returns and growth and future estimates of the business' performance.

GuruFocus found that for valuation, we cannot simply give stocks a better GF Value rank simply because they have a lower P/GF Value ratio. Backtesting shows that over the long term, the two worst-performing groups are the most expensive group (with the highest P/GF Value ratio) and the least expensive group (with the lowest P/GF Value ratio).

We can understand why the most expensive group underperforms. We were initially puzzled by the underperformance of the least expensive group, but we realized there is a reason why some stocks are super cheap. If they look too undervalued, it is often because the businesses behind them are poor quality. The market realized this and gave them low valuations. In a way, the market is efficient.

After multiple backtesting analyses, we granted the stocks in third-cheapest percentile the highest GF Value rank, as they have performed the best over a full market cycle. Stock performance is actually not as sensitive to valuation as it is to growth and profitability. On average, the companies in the 20%-50% valuation groups have similar performances. Therefore, we should avoid the most expensive and the least expensive stocks. We can be more tolerant of valuation.

A higher score indicates a stock with a relatively low valuation and substantial potential for outperformance. Conversely, a lower score often reflects stocks that are either highly overvalued or deeply undervalued, both of which tend to underperform.

Please click GF Score to see more details on the GF Score's 5 Key Aspects of Analysis.

New Hope GF Value Rank Competitor Comparison

For the Thermal Coal subindustry, New Hope's GF Value Rank, along with its competitors' market caps and GF Value Rank data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

New Hope GF Value Rank vs Other Energy Sources Industry

For the Other Energy Sources industry and Energy sector, New Hope's GF Value Rank distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where New Hope's GF Value Rank falls into.


ASX:NHC
67GF Score
New Hope Corp Ltd ASX:NHC
GF Value Rank is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about GF Value Rank →
What does a GF Value Rank of 3 mean?
New Hope (ASX:NHC) has a GF Value Rank of 3 as of Jul. 14, 2026. GF Value Rank is given based on historical multiples along with past returns, growth and future estimates of the business' performance. View historical data on New Hope and its competitors. This is 25% below median its historical median of 4.00. Over the past decade, New Hope's GF Value Rank has ranged from 1.00 to 10.00.
Is New Hope's GF Value Rank too high?
New Hope's current GF Value Rank of 3 is 25% below median its 10-year median of 4.00. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.00 to a high of 10.00. Overall, New Hope has a GF Score™ of 67/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does New Hope's GF Value Rank compare to competitors?
New Hope's GF Value Rank of 3 can be compared against companies in the Other Energy Sources industry. Historically, New Hope's own GF Value Rank has ranged from 1.00 to 10.00 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good GF Value Rank for an Other Energy Sources company?
A good GF Value Rank depends on the Other Energy Sources industry context. However, GF Value Rank should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high GF Value Rank mean?
A high GF Value Rank can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. GF Value Rank is given based on historical multiples along with past returns, growth and future estimates of the business' performance. View historical data on New Hope and its competitors. New Hope's current GF Value Rank is 3, which is 25% below median its own 10-year median of 4.00. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is New Hope stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, New Hope (ASX:NHC) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$4.05, compared to a current price of A$5.33 — trading 31.6% above its estimated fair value. The current GF Value Rank is 3, which is 25% below median its 10-year median of 4.00. New Hope's overall GF Score™ is 67/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is GF Value Rank calculated?
GF Value Rank is calculated from a company's financial statements. For New Hope (ASX:NHC), the current GF Value Rank is 3 as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is New Hope (ASX:NHC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, New Hope stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of A$5.33 is trading 31.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$4.05. GuruFocus considers New Hope to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:NHC:

  • GF Value Rank: 3 (25% below median its 10-year median of 4.00)
  • GF Value™: A$4.05 vs. price of A$5.33 (31.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 67/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:NHC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

New Hope Business Description

Other Exchanges NHPEF:USAOD8:Germany
Address 175 Eagle Street, Level 18, Brisbane, QLD, AUS, 4000
New Hope Corporation is an Australian thermal coal miner. It has two operating mines: the 100%-owned New Acland coal mine in Queensland and its 80%-owned Bengalla coal mine in New South Wales. The company should sell around 13 million metric tons of thermal coal annually from fiscal 2028, up from around 10.5 million in fiscal 2025, driven by the construction and ramp up of New Acland Stage 3. The vast majority of New Hope's production is sold into seaborne thermal coal export markets. Reserves at New Acland and Bengalla are sufficient to support multidecade mine lives. New Hope also has significant undeveloped coal resources in Queensland, as well as a 23% holding in the Malabar-Maxwell metallurgical coal mine, which began production in 2023.
67GF Score

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GF Value Rank is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$5.33
Price
A$4.05
GF Value