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Alto Ingredients (Alto Ingredients) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 0.00% (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Alto Ingredients Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Alto Ingredients's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alto Ingredients's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

ALTO' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1983.88   Med: -100.49   Max: 81.02
Current: 18.53

During the past 13 years, Alto Ingredients's highest Forward Rate of Return was 81.02. The lowest was -1983.88. And the median was -100.49.

ALTO's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
71.34% of 1134 companies
in the Chemicals industry
Industry Median: 8.7 vs ALTO: 18.53

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Alto Ingredients Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alto Ingredients's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alto Ingredients Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Alto Ingredients Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
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Alto Ingredients Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
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Competitive Comparison of Alto Ingredients's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Alto Ingredients's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alto Ingredients's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Alto Ingredients's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alto Ingredients's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Alto Ingredients Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Alto Ingredients's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.88628571/2.66+-0.2836
=4.96 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Alto Ingredients  (NAS:ALTO) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Alto Ingredients Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Alto Ingredients's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Alto Ingredients (Alto Ingredients) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1300 South Second Street, Pekin, IL, USA, 61554
Alto Ingredients Inc is a producer of specialty alcohols and essential ingredients. The company serves five markets: Health, Home and Beauty, Food and Beverage, Essential Ingredients, and Renewable Fuels. Its customers include major food and beverage companies and consumer products manufacturers and distributors. The company operates under three segments: Marketing and distribution, Pekin Campus production, and Other production. The Marketing and distribution segment participates in marketing and merchant trading for alcohols and essential ingredients; Pekin Campus produces and sells products produced at the company's Pekin, Illinois, campus, and about half of the firm's revenue flows from this segment. Other production makes and sells from the company's other production facilities.
Executives
Robert R. Olander officer: Chief Financial Officer 1300 SOUTH SECOND STREET, PEKIN IL 61554
Gilbert E Nathan director C/O EMERGENT CAPITAL, INC., 5355 TOWN CENTER ROAD, SUITE 701, BOCA RATON FL 33486
Auste M Graham officer: Gen. Counsel, VP & Secy C/O ALTO INGREDIENTS, INC., 1300 SOUTH SECOND STREET, PEKIN IL 61554
Maria G Gray director C/O ALTO INGREDIENTS, INC., 1300 SOUTH SECOND STREET, PEKIN IL 61554
Bryon T Mcgregor officer: Interim CFO 400 CAPITAL MALL, #2060, SACRAMENTO CA 95814
Christopher W Wright officer: VP, General Counsel, & Secy C/O PACIFIC ETHANOL, INC., 5711 N. WEST AVENUE, FRESNO CA 93711
William L Jones 10 percent owner 5711 N. WEST AVENUE, FRESNO CA 93711
James R Sneed officer: VP of Ethanol Supply & Trading AVENTINE RENEWABLE ENERGY HOLDINGS, INC., 1300 SOUTH SECOND STREET, PEKIN IL 61555
Neil M Koehler director, officer: CEO, President PACIFIC ETHANOL, INC., 5711 N. WEST AVENUE, FRESNO CA 93711
Douglas L Kieta director 17831 SHADOW VALLEY DRIVE, SPRING TX 77379
Winston Mar officer: Chief Restructuring Officer 46 PENINSULA CENTER #188, ROLLING HILLS ESTATES CA 90274
Dianne S. Nury director C/O PACIFIC ETHANOL INC., 400 CAPITOL MALL, SUITE 2060, SACRAMENTO CA 95814
Michael D Kandris director 400 CAPITAL MALL, #2060, SACRAMENTO CA 95814
Paul Koehler officer: VP of Corporate Development C/O TOWERSTREAM CORPORATION, 55 HAMMARLUND WAY, MIDDLETOWN RI 02842
Larry D Layne director C/O PACIFIC ETHANOL, INC., 400 CAPITOL MALL, #2060, SACRAMENTO CA 95814

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