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Alto Ingredients (Alto Ingredients) Altman Z2-Score : -2.61 (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is Alto Ingredients Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Alto Ingredients has a Altman Z2-Score of -2.61, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alto Ingredients's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ALTO' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.36   Med: -1.12   Max: 0.82
Current: -2.61

During the past 13 years, Alto Ingredients's highest Altman Z2-Score was 0.82. The lowest was -3.36. And the median was -1.12.


Alto Ingredients Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alto Ingredients's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alto Ingredients Altman Z2-Score Chart

Alto Ingredients Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.36 -1.56 0.82 -1.98 -2.61

Alto Ingredients Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.98 -2.46 -2.45 -2.28 -2.61

Competitive Comparison of Alto Ingredients's Altman Z2-Score

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Alto Ingredients's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alto Ingredients's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Alto Ingredients's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alto Ingredients's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Alto Ingredients Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Alto Ingredients's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.2278+3.26*-1.6817+6.72*-0.0451+1.05*1.6004
=-2.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $454 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $169 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $65 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-764 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -18.848 + -3.489 + 7.595 + -13.166 = $-28 Mil.
Interest Expense was -2.126 + -2 + -1.734 + -1.565 = $-7 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $175 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(168.77 - 65.288)/454.241
=0.2278

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-763.913/454.241
=-1.6817

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-27.908 - -7.425)/454.241
=-0.0451

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(279.557 - 0.001)/174.684
=1.6004

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Alto Ingredients has a Altman Z2-Score of -2.61 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Alto Ingredients  (NAS:ALTO) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Alto Ingredients Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Alto Ingredients's Altman Z2-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Alto Ingredients (Alto Ingredients) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1300 South Second Street, Pekin, IL, USA, 61554
Alto Ingredients Inc is a producer of specialty alcohols and essential ingredients. The company serves five markets: Health, Home and Beauty, Food and Beverage, Essential Ingredients, and Renewable Fuels. Its customers include major food and beverage companies and consumer products manufacturers and distributors. The company operates under three segments: Marketing and distribution, Pekin Campus production, and Other production. The Marketing and distribution segment participates in marketing and merchant trading for alcohols and essential ingredients; Pekin Campus produces and sells products produced at the company's Pekin, Illinois, campus, and about half of the firm's revenue flows from this segment. Other production makes and sells from the company's other production facilities.
Executives
Robert R. Olander officer: Chief Financial Officer 1300 SOUTH SECOND STREET, PEKIN IL 61554
Gilbert E Nathan director C/O EMERGENT CAPITAL, INC., 5355 TOWN CENTER ROAD, SUITE 701, BOCA RATON FL 33486
Auste M Graham officer: Gen. Counsel, VP & Secy C/O ALTO INGREDIENTS, INC., 1300 SOUTH SECOND STREET, PEKIN IL 61554
Maria G Gray director C/O ALTO INGREDIENTS, INC., 1300 SOUTH SECOND STREET, PEKIN IL 61554
Bryon T Mcgregor officer: Interim CFO 400 CAPITAL MALL, #2060, SACRAMENTO CA 95814
Christopher W Wright officer: VP, General Counsel, & Secy C/O PACIFIC ETHANOL, INC., 5711 N. WEST AVENUE, FRESNO CA 93711
William L Jones 10 percent owner 5711 N. WEST AVENUE, FRESNO CA 93711
James R Sneed officer: VP of Ethanol Supply & Trading AVENTINE RENEWABLE ENERGY HOLDINGS, INC., 1300 SOUTH SECOND STREET, PEKIN IL 61555
Neil M Koehler director, officer: CEO, President PACIFIC ETHANOL, INC., 5711 N. WEST AVENUE, FRESNO CA 93711
Douglas L Kieta director 17831 SHADOW VALLEY DRIVE, SPRING TX 77379
Winston Mar officer: Chief Restructuring Officer 46 PENINSULA CENTER #188, ROLLING HILLS ESTATES CA 90274
Dianne S. Nury director C/O PACIFIC ETHANOL INC., 400 CAPITOL MALL, SUITE 2060, SACRAMENTO CA 95814
Michael D Kandris director 400 CAPITAL MALL, #2060, SACRAMENTO CA 95814
Paul Koehler officer: VP of Corporate Development C/O TOWERSTREAM CORPORATION, 55 HAMMARLUND WAY, MIDDLETOWN RI 02842
Larry D Layne director C/O PACIFIC ETHANOL, INC., 400 CAPITOL MALL, #2060, SACRAMENTO CA 95814

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