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Lion Selection GroupASX:LSX -0.59%40 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 3.64% as of Jul. 2025, which is 67% below its 10-year median of 11.10. GuruFocus rates ASX:LSX with a GF Score™ of 40/100 and a GF Value™ of A$9.31 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 444 Metals & Mining companies, Lion Selection Group ranks worse than 60.14% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Lion Selection Group's forward rate of return for was 3.64%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Lion Selection Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
ASX:LSX'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -15.98 Med: 11.1 Max: 13.83
Current: 3.65
During the past 13 years, Lion Selection Group's highest Forward Rate of Return was 13.83. The lowest was -15.98. And the median was 11.10.
ASX:LSX's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than 60.14% of 444
companies
in the Metals & Mining industry
Industry Median: 9.155
vs ASX:LSX: 3.65
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Lion Selection Group (ASX:LSX) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Lion Selection Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Lion Selection Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Lion Selection Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Lion Selection Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
ASX:LSX vs NEM, AU: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Gold subindustry, Lion Selection Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Lion Selection Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Metals & Mining Industry
For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Lion Selection Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Lion Selection Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Lion Selection Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 3.64% mean?
Lion Selection Group (ASX:LSX) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 3.64% as of Jul. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Lion Selection Group and its competitors. This is 67% below median its historical median of 11.10. According to the industry distribution chart, Lion Selection Group ranks #267 out of 444 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 60.1%.
Is Lion Selection Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Lion Selection Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 3.64% is 67% below median its 10-year median of 11.10. The Metals & Mining industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.16. Lion Selection Group's value of 3.64% is 60.2% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Lion Selection Group ranks #267 out of 444 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Lion Selection Group has a GF Score™ of 40/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Lion Selection Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to NEM and AU?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Lion Selection Group ranks #267 out of 444 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Lion Selection Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.16. Lion Selection Group's value of 3.64% is 60.2% below this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 11.10 vs. the industry median of 9.16, Lion Selection Group has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Metals & Mining company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Metals & Mining companies is 9.16, based on 444 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Lion Selection Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 3.64% is 60.2% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Lion Selection Group and its competitors. For the Metals & Mining industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.16 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Lion Selection Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 3.64%, which is 67% below median its own 10-year median of 11.10. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Lion Selection Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lion Selection Group (ASX:LSX) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is A$9.31, compared to a current price of A$0.85 — trading 90.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 3.64%, which is 67% below median its 10-year median of 11.10 and 60.2% below the Metals & Mining industry median of 9.16. Lion Selection Group's overall GF Score™ is 40/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Lion Selection Group (ASX:LSX), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 3.64% as of Jul. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Lion Selection Group (ASX:LSX) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lion Selection Group stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of A$0.85 is trading 90.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of A$9.31.
GuruFocus considers Lion Selection Group to be Possible Value Trap.
Key valuation signals for ASX:LSX:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 3.64% (67% below median its 10-year median of 11.10)
GF Value™: A$9.31 vs. price of A$0.85 (90.9% below fair value)
Industry Position: 60.2% below the Metals & Mining median (#267 of 444)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:LSX stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Lion Selection Group Ltd is a mining investment company. The company invests in junior resource companies, providing venture capital to carefully selected mining and exploration companies with development projects. It invests only in small and medium mining and exploration companies with gold and base metal activities in Australia, Africa, and Asia. Its project includes the Pani Gold Project.
40GF Score
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