Lion Selection Group (ASX:LSX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: A$0.65 (As of Aug. 15, 2026) — 42% Below Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

ASX:LSX Lion Selection Group Ltd ASX:LSX
43 GF Score
Price A$0.89
GF Value A$9.40
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Lion Selection Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Lion Selection Group ASX:LSX -0.56% 43 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.65 as of Aug. 15, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 1.13. GuruFocus rates ASX:LSX with a GF Score™ of 43/100 and a GF Value™ of A$9.40 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 642 Metals & Mining companies, Lion Selection Group ranks better than 68.07% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-15), Lion Selection Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.65. The stock price of Lion Selection Group is A$0.885. Therefore, Lion Selection Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lion Selection Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Lion Selection Group was 1.41. The lowest was 1.02. And the median was 1.13.

ASX:LSX's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Metals & Mining industry.
Industry Median: 2.245
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Lion Selection Group  (ASX:LSX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Lion Selection Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.885/0.65105241763327
=1.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Lion Selection Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Lion Selection Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Lion Selection Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Lion Selection Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Lion Selection Group Annual Data
Trend Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23 Jul24 Jul25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.41 0.42 0.39 0.42 0.65

Lion Selection Group Semi-Annual Data
Jul16 Jan17 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Jan21 Jul21 Jan22 Jul22 Jan23 Jul23 Jan24 Jul24 Jan25 Jul25 Jan26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.42 0.00 0.65 0.00

ASX:LSX vs NEM, AU: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Gold subindustry, Lion Selection Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lion Selection Group Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Lion Selection Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lion Selection Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


ASX:LSX
43GF Score
Lion Selection Group Ltd ASX:LSX
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Lion Selection Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Lion Selection Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = A$-0.90.

Lion Selection Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jul25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-0.90314285714286+127.523*0.8)/143.491
=0.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$0.65 mean?
Lion Selection Group (ASX:LSX) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$0.65 as of Aug. 15, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Lion Selection Group and its competitors. This is 42% below median its historical median of 1.13. Over the past decade, Lion Selection Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 1.02 to 1.41. According to the industry distribution chart, Lion Selection Group ranks #205 out of 642 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 31.9%.
Is Lion Selection Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Lion Selection Group's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$0.65 is 42% below median its 10-year median of 1.13. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.02 to a high of 1.41. Based on the distribution chart, Lion Selection Group ranks #205 out of 642 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Lion Selection Group has a GF Score™ of 43/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Lion Selection Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to NEM and AU?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Lion Selection Group ranks #205 out of 642 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Lion Selection Group in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.25. Historically, Lion Selection Group's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 1.02 to 1.41 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Metals & Mining company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Metals & Mining companies is 2.25, based on 642 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Lion Selection Group and its competitors. For the Metals & Mining industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.25 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Lion Selection Group's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.65, which is 42% below median its own 10-year median of 1.13. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Lion Selection Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lion Selection Group (ASX:LSX) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is A$9.40, compared to a current price of A$0.89 — trading 90.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.65, which is 42% below median its 10-year median of 1.13. Lion Selection Group's overall GF Score™ is 43/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Lion Selection Group (ASX:LSX), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.65 as of Aug. 15, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Lion Selection Group (ASX:LSX) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lion Selection Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of A$0.89 is trading 90.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of A$9.40. GuruFocus considers Lion Selection Group to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for ASX:LSX:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: A$0.65 (42% below median its 10-year median of 1.13)
  • GF Value™: A$9.40 vs. price of A$0.89 (90.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 43/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:LSX stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Lion Selection Group Business Description

Address 175 Flinders Street, Level 2, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3000
Lion Selection Group Ltd is a mining investment company. The company invests in junior resource companies, providing venture capital to carefully selected mining and exploration companies with development projects. It invests only in small and medium mining and exploration companies with gold and base metal activities in Australia, Africa, and Asia. Its project includes the Pani Gold Project.
43GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:LSX

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$0.89
Price
A$9.40
GF Value