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Bangkok ExpresswayBKK:BECL-R Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.77% as of Sep. 2015, which is 52% below its 10-year median of 1.60. The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Bangkok Expressway's forward rate of return for was 0.77%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Bangkok Expressway's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
BKK:BECL-R'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.6 Med: 1.6 Max: 43.7
Current: 1.37
During the past 12 years, Bangkok Expressway's highest Forward Rate of Return was 43.70. The lowest was -5.60. And the median was 1.60.
BKK:BECL-R's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked
in the Construction industry.
Industry Median: 8.78
vs BKK:BECL-R: 1.37
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Bangkok Expressway (BKK:BECL-R) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Bangkok Expressway Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Bangkok Expressway Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Bangkok Expressway's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Bangkok Expressway Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
BKK:BECL-R vs GVA, PRIM: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Bangkok Expressway's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Bangkok Expressway Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Construction Industry
For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Bangkok Expressway's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Bangkok Expressway's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Bangkok Expressway Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.77% mean?
Bangkok Expressway (BKK:BECL-R) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.77% as of Sep. 2015. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Bangkok Expressway and its competitors. This is 52% below median its historical median of 1.60.
Is Bangkok Expressway's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Bangkok Expressway's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.77% is 52% below median its 10-year median of 1.60. The Construction industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 8.78. Bangkok Expressway's value of 0.77% is 91.2% below this industry median.
How does Bangkok Expressway's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to GVA and PRIM?
Bangkok Expressway's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.77% can be compared against companies in the Construction industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 8.78. Bangkok Expressway's value of 0.77% is 91.2% below this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 1.60 vs. the industry median of 8.78, Bangkok Expressway has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Construction company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Construction companies is 8.78, based on 1,293 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Bangkok Expressway's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.77% is 91.2% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Bangkok Expressway and its competitors. For the Construction industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 8.78 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Bangkok Expressway's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.77%, which is 52% below median its own 10-year median of 1.60. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Bangkok Expressway stock overvalued right now?
Bangkok Expressway (BKK:BECL-R) has a current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.77%. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.77%, which is 52% below median its 10-year median of 1.60 and 91.2% below the Construction industry median of 8.78. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Bangkok Expressway (BKK:BECL-R), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.77% as of Sep. 2015. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Bangkok Expressway Public Company Limited engages in the design, construction, management, and operation of expressways in Thailand. The Company is engaged in the construction and management of Si Rat Expressway (Second Stage Expressway Project) and other extensions, including related businesses under the Second Stage Expressway agreement with the Expressway Authority of Thailand (EXAT); and the Udon Ratthaya Expressway under the Bang Pa-in-Pak Kret Expressway agreement entered into between EXAT and the Company.
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