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Almacenes ExitoBOG:EXITO -0.92%76 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 24.56% as of Jun. 2026, which is 11% above its 10-year median of 22.09. GuruFocus rates BOG:EXITO with a GF Score™ of 76/100 and a GF Value™ of COP2,863.38 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 793 Retail - Cyclical companies, Almacenes Exito ranks better than 80.58% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Almacenes Exito's forward rate of return for was 24.56%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Almacenes Exito's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
BOG:EXITO'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -31.96 Med: 22.09 Max: 54.1
Current: 24.6
During the past 13 years, Almacenes Exito's highest Forward Rate of Return was 54.10. The lowest was -31.96. And the median was 22.09.
BOG:EXITO's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than 80.58% of 793
companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 12.91
vs BOG:EXITO: 24.60
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Almacenes Exito (BOG:EXITO) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Almacenes Exito Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Almacenes Exito Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Almacenes Exito's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Almacenes Exito Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
BOG:EXITO vs DDS, M: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Department Stores subindustry, Almacenes Exito's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Almacenes Exito Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Retail - Cyclical Industry
For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Almacenes Exito's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Almacenes Exito's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Almacenes Exito Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 24.56% mean?
Almacenes Exito (BOG:EXITO) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 24.56% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Almacenes Exito and its competitors. This is 11% above median its historical median of 22.09. According to the industry distribution chart, Almacenes Exito ranks #154 out of 793 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 19.4%.
Is Almacenes Exito's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Almacenes Exito's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 24.56% is 11% above median its 10-year median of 22.09. The Retail - Cyclical industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.91. Almacenes Exito's value of 24.56% is 90.2% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Almacenes Exito ranks #154 out of 793 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Almacenes Exito has a GF Score™ of 76/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Almacenes Exito's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to DDS and M?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Almacenes Exito ranks #154 out of 793 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Almacenes Exito in the top 19% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.91. Almacenes Exito's value of 24.56% is 90.2% above this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 22.09 vs. the industry median of 12.91, Almacenes Exito has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Retail - Cyclical company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Retail - Cyclical companies is 12.91, based on 793 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Almacenes Exito's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 24.56% is 90.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Almacenes Exito and its competitors. For the Retail - Cyclical industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.91 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Almacenes Exito's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 24.56%, which is 11% above median its own 10-year median of 22.09. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Almacenes Exito stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Almacenes Exito (BOG:EXITO) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is COP2,863.38, compared to a current price of COP4,855.00 — trading 69.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 24.56%, which is 11% above median its 10-year median of 22.09 and 90.2% above the Retail - Cyclical industry median of 12.91. Almacenes Exito's overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Almacenes Exito (BOG:EXITO), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 24.56% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Almacenes Exito (BOG:EXITO) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Almacenes Exito stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of COP4,855.00 is trading 69.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of COP2,863.38.
GuruFocus considers Almacenes Exito to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for BOG:EXITO:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 24.56% (11% above median its 10-year median of 22.09)
GF Value™: COP2,863.38 vs. price of COP4,855.00 (69.6% above fair value)
Industry Position: 90.2% above the Retail - Cyclical median (#154 of 793)
No single metric tells the full story. See the BOG:EXITO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Almacenes Exito SA is a Colombian retailer that operates in its homeland and overseas. The company operates under three reportable segments Grupo Exito, Carulla, Low cost, and others in Colombia; Libertad in Argentina; and Disco, Devoto, and Geant chains in Uruguay. Exito has an omnichannel, multiformat, and multibrand model. Its store offerings include groceries and food, clothing, home appliances, oil-based liquid fuels, biofuels, personal care products, and home entertainment electronic and digital products.
76GF Score
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