Banco Mercantil do Brasil (BSP:BMEB3) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 32.43% (As of Jun. 2026) — 125% Above Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

BSP:BMEB3 Banco Mercantil do Brasil SA BSP:BMEB3
73 GF Score
Price R$50.10
GF Value R$41.77
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Banco Mercantil do Brasil Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Banco Mercantil do Brasil BSP:BMEB3 +1.06% 73 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 32.43% as of Jun. 2026, which is 125% above its 10-year median of 14.43. GuruFocus rates BSP:BMEB3 with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of R$41.77 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,415 Banks companies, Banco Mercantil do Brasil ranks worse than 84.81% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Banco Mercantil do Brasil's forward rate of return for was 32.43%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Banco Mercantil do Brasil's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:BMEB3' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -12.32   Med: 14.43   Max: 44.88
Current: 5.26

During the past 13 years, Banco Mercantil do Brasil's highest Forward Rate of Return was 44.88. The lowest was -12.32. And the median was 14.43.

BSP:BMEB3's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
84.81% of 1415 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 15.53 vs BSP:BMEB3: 5.26

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Banco Mercantil do Brasil  (BSP:BMEB3) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Banco Mercantil do Brasil Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Banco Mercantil do Brasil Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Banco Mercantil do Brasil's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Banco Mercantil do Brasil Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Banco Mercantil do Brasil Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 26.51 62.89 39.72 34.22 28.18

Banco Mercantil do Brasil Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 32.87 34.08 28.92 28.55 32.43

Banco Mercantil do Brasil Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Competitor Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Banco Mercantil do Brasil's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Banco Mercantil do Brasil Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Banco Mercantil do Brasil's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Banco Mercantil do Brasil's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


BSP:BMEB3
73GF Score
Banco Mercantil do Brasil SA BSP:BMEB3
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Banco Mercantil do Brasil Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Banco Mercantil do Brasil's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year Book Value Growth Rate
=6.63961905/51.02+0.1942
=32.43 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 32.43% mean?
Banco Mercantil do Brasil (BSP:BMEB3) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 32.43% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Banco Mercantil do Brasil and its competitors. This is 125% above median its historical median of 14.43. According to the industry distribution chart, Banco Mercantil do Brasil ranks #1200 out of 1415 companies in the Banks industry, placing it in the top 84.8%.
Is Banco Mercantil do Brasil's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Banco Mercantil do Brasil's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 32.43% is 125% above median its 10-year median of 14.43. The Banks industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.53. Banco Mercantil do Brasil's value of 32.43% is 108.8% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Banco Mercantil do Brasil ranks #1200 out of 1415 companies in the Banks industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Banco Mercantil do Brasil has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Banco Mercantil do Brasil's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to competitors?
According to the Banks industry distribution chart, Banco Mercantil do Brasil ranks #1200 out of 1415 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Banco Mercantil do Brasil in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.53. Banco Mercantil do Brasil's value of 32.43% is 108.8% above this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 14.43 vs. the industry median of 15.53, Banco Mercantil do Brasil has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Banks company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Banks companies is 15.53, based on 1,415 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Banco Mercantil do Brasil's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 32.43% is 108.8% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Banco Mercantil do Brasil and its competitors. For the Banks industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.53 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Banco Mercantil do Brasil's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 32.43%, which is 125% above median its own 10-year median of 14.43. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Banco Mercantil do Brasil stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Banco Mercantil do Brasil (BSP:BMEB3) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R$41.77, compared to a current price of R$50.10 — trading 19.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 32.43%, which is 125% above median its 10-year median of 14.43 and 108.8% above the Banks industry median of 15.53. Banco Mercantil do Brasil's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Banco Mercantil do Brasil (BSP:BMEB3), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 32.43% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Banco Mercantil do Brasil (BSP:BMEB3) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Banco Mercantil do Brasil stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of R$50.10 is trading 19.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of R$41.77. GuruFocus considers Banco Mercantil do Brasil to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BSP:BMEB3:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 32.43% (125% above median its 10-year median of 14.43)
  • GF Value™: R$41.77 vs. price of R$50.10 (19.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 4 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 108.8% above the Banks median (#1200 of 1415)

No single metric tells the full story. See the BSP:BMEB3 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Banco Mercantil do Brasil Business Description

Other Exchanges BMEB4:Brazil
Address R Rio de Janeiro 654, Belo Horizonte,, MG, BRA, 30160912
Banco Mercantil do Brasil SA offers commercial banking services. It offers personal and corporate credit cards, lease financing, business financing services, Internet banking, and other financial services. The company offers checking and savings accounts, and time deposits and funds; payroll-deductible loans, personal loans, overdraft facilities, credit cards, and vehicle financing services; private pension, insurance, and capitalization products and services; and collection, payment of taxes and fees to individuals.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BSP:BMEB3

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R$50.10
Price
R$41.77
GF Value