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The Walt Disney Co (The Walt Disney Co) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: -6.58% (As of Dec. 2023)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. The Walt Disney Co's forward rate of return for was -6.58%.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Walt Disney Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

DIS' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -25.22   Med: 13.74   Max: 19.73
Current: -6.91

During the past 13 years, The Walt Disney Co's highest Forward Rate of Return was 19.73. The lowest was -25.22. And the median was 13.74.

DIS's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
74.42% of 602 companies
in the Media - Diversified industry
Industry Median: 7.95 vs DIS: -6.91

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


The Walt Disney Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Walt Disney Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Walt Disney Co Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.59 -6.90 -25.14 -20.29 -10.31

The Walt Disney Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -18.68 -16.17 -13.79 -10.31 -6.58

Competitive Comparison

For the Entertainment subindustry, The Walt Disney Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Walt Disney Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, The Walt Disney Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Walt Disney Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



The Walt Disney Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

The Walt Disney Co's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=1.54819048/90.29+-0.0829
=-6.58 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


The Walt Disney Co  (NYSE:DIS) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


The Walt Disney Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The Walt Disney Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


The Walt Disney Co (The Walt Disney Co) Business Description

Address
500 South Buena Vista Street, Burbank, CA, USA, 91521
Disney operates in three global business segments: entertainment, sports, and experiences. Entertainment and experiences both benefit from franchises and characters the firm has created over the course of a century. Entertainment includes the ABC broadcast network, several cable television networks, and the Disney+ and Hulu streaming services. Within the segment, Disney also engages in movie and television production and distribution, with content licensed to movie theaters, other content providers, or, increasingly, kept in-house for use on Disney's own streaming platform and television networks. The sports segment houses ESPN and the ESPN+ streaming service. Experiences contains Disney's theme parks and vacation destinations, and also benefits from merchandise licensing.
Executives
Sonia L Coleman officer: Sr. EVP and Chief HR Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521
Brent Woodford officer: EVP, Control, Fin Plan & Tax 1441 GARDINER LANE, LOUISVILLE KY 40213
Amy Chang director 2100 SEAPORT BLVD., C/O INFORMATICA CORPORATION, REDWOOD CITY CA 94063
Kevin A Lansberry officer: Interim Chief Finan Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521
Christine M Mccarthy officer: SEVP-Chief Financial Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521-0964
Carolyn Everson director C/O THE HERTZ CORPORATION, 225 BRAE BOULEVARD, PARK RIDGE NJ 07656-0713
Kristina K Schake officer: Sr. EVP and Chief Comm Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521
Horacio E Gutierrez officer: Sr EVP, General Counsel & Secy 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521
Geoff Morrell officer: SEVP Chf Corp Affairs Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521
Robert A Chapek officer: Chief Executive Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521
Paul J Richardson officer: Sr. EVP and Chief HR Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521
Calvin Mcdonald director C/O LULULEMON ATHLETICA INC., 1818 CORNWALL AVENUE, VANCOUVER A1 V6J 1C7
Robert A Iger director, officer: Chairman and CEO C/O WALT DISNEY CO, 500 S BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521-1062
Zenia B. Mucha officer: SEVP Corporate Communications 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521
Mary Jayne Parker officer: SEVP and Chief HR Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521-0966

The Walt Disney Co (The Walt Disney Co) Headlines