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Kaydon (FRA:KYD) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : -15.16% (As of Jun. 2013)


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What is Kaydon Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Kaydon's forward rate of return for was -15.16%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kaydon's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:KYD's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Industrial Products industry.
Industry Median: 9.64
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Kaydon Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Kaydon's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Kaydon Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Kaydon Annual Data
Trend Dec03 Dec04 Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.49 10.18 0.72 -3.13 -10.71

Kaydon Quarterly Data
Sep08 Dec08 Mar09 Jun09 Sep09 Dec09 Mar10 Jun10 Sep10 Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.61 -7.51 -10.71 -13.00 -15.16

Competitive Comparison of Kaydon's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Tools & Accessories subindustry, Kaydon's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kaydon's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Kaydon's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kaydon's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Kaydon Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Kaydon's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2013 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=1.24171429/0+-0.1444
=0 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Kaydon  (FRA:KYD) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Kaydon Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Kaydon's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Kaydon (FRA:KYD) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Kaydon Corporation was incorporated in 1983. The Company is a designer and manufacturer of custom engineered, performance-critical products supplying a broad and diverse customer base. The Company's main products now include bearings and components, filters and filter housings, custom rings, shaft seals, linear deceleration products, specialty balls, fuel cleansing systems, gas-phase air filtration systems and replacement media, industrial presses and metal alloy products. These products are used by customers in a variety of alternative energy, specialized robotics, medical, material handling, machine tool positioning, aerospace, defense, security, electronic and other industrial applications. The Company has two reportable segments and other operating segments engaged in the manufacture and sale of the following: Friction Control Products - complex components used in alternative energy, specialized robotics, medical, aerospace, defense, security, electronic, material handling, construction and other industrial applications. Products include anti-friction bearings, split roller bearings and specialty balls; Velocity Control Products - complex components used in specialized robotics, material handling, machine tool, medical, amusement and other industrial applications. Products include industrial shock absorbers, safety shock absorbers, velocity controls, gas springs and rotary dampers; and Other Industrial Products - complex and standard ring and seal products, filter elements and liquid and gas-phase filtration systems, metal alloys, machine tool components, presses, dies and benders used in a variety of applications. The Company sells its products in each segment through a sales organization consisting of salespersons and representatives located primarily throughout North America, Europe and Asia. The Company holds various patents, patent applications, licenses, trademarks and trade names. The Company's competitors include a number of other well-established manufacturers, as well as other smaller companies.

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