Paychex (FRA:PCX) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 14.52% (As of May. 2026) — 27% Above Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

FRA:PCX Paychex Inc FRA:PCX
94 GF Score
Price €107.66
GF Value €133.74
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Paychex Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Paychex FRA:PCX +0.50% 94 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.52% as of May. 2026, which is 27% above its 10-year median of 11.39. GuruFocus rates FRA:PCX with a GF Score™ of 94/100 and a GF Value™ of €133.74 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,378 Software companies, Paychex ranks better than 50.51% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Paychex's forward rate of return for was 14.52%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Paychex's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:PCX' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 8.61   Med: 11.39   Max: 15.35
Current: 13.35

During the past 13 years, Paychex's highest Forward Rate of Return was 15.35. The lowest was 8.61. And the median was 11.39.

FRA:PCX's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
50.51% of 1378 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 13.175 vs FRA:PCX: 13.35

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Paychex  (FRA:PCX) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Paychex Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Paychex Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Paychex's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Paychex Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Paychex Annual Data
Trend May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23 May24 May25 May26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.98 12.53 13.30 13.15 14.52

Paychex Quarterly Data
Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26 May26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.15 13.54 14.04 14.87 14.52

FRA:PCX vs ADSK, ROP, MSTR: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Software - Application subindustry, Paychex's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Paychex Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Paychex's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Paychex's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


FRA:PCX
94GF Score
Paychex Inc FRA:PCX
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Paychex Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Paychex's Forward Rate of Return of May. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=4.34571429/81.37+0.1038
=15.72 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 14.52% mean?
Paychex (FRA:PCX) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 14.52% as of May. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Paychex and its competitors. This is 27% above median its historical median of 11.39. Over the past decade, Paychex's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 8.61 to 15.35. According to the industry distribution chart, Paychex ranks #682 out of 1378 companies in the Software industry, placing it in the top 49.5%.
Is Paychex's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Paychex's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 14.52% is 27% above median its 10-year median of 11.39. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 8.61 to a high of 15.35. The Software industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.18. Paychex's value of 14.52% is 10.2% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Paychex ranks #682 out of 1378 companies in the Software industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Paychex has a GF Score™ of 94/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Paychex's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to ADSK and ROP?
According to the Software industry distribution chart, Paychex ranks #682 out of 1378 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts Paychex in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.18. Paychex's value of 14.52% is 10.2% above this benchmark. Historically, Paychex's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 8.61 to 15.35 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 11.39 vs. the industry median of 13.18, Paychex has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Software company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Software companies is 13.18, based on 1,378 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Paychex's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 14.52% is 10.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Paychex and its competitors. For the Software industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.18 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Paychex's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.52%, which is 27% above median its own 10-year median of 11.39. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Paychex stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Paychex (FRA:PCX) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €133.74, compared to a current price of €107.66 — trading 19.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.52%, which is 27% above median its 10-year median of 11.39 and 10.2% above the Software industry median of 13.18. Paychex's overall GF Score™ is 94/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Paychex (FRA:PCX), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.52% as of May. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Paychex (FRA:PCX) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Paychex stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €107.66 is trading 19.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of €133.74. GuruFocus considers Paychex to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:PCX:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 14.52% (27% above median its 10-year median of 11.39)
  • GF Value™: €133.74 vs. price of €107.66 (19.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 94/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 10.2% above the Software median (#682 of 1378)

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:PCX stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Paychex Business Description

Address 911 Panorama Trail South, Rochester, NY, USA, 14625-2396
Paychex is a cloud-based human capital management provider offering payroll, compliance, talent management, benefits administration, and retirement services. The firm also provides HR outsourcing services, including professional employer organization, or PEO, offerings, enabling clients to reduce HR overhead. Paychex primarily targets small and midsize businesses, although its acquisition of Paycor in 2025 signals the firm's aspirations to expand into the midmarket segment, serving firms with more than 100 employees. As of fiscal 2025, Paychex has approximately 800,000 clients and manages payroll for one in 11 workers in the United States.
94GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:PCX

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€107.66
Price
€133.74
GF Value